Technologies
10-year Treasury yield jumps as September core inflation comes in hotter than expected
Treasury yields moved higher after the latest inflation reading.
The 10-year Treasury note
The Consumer Price Index rose 3.7% year over year in September, higher than the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 3.6%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, came in at 2.6% on an annualized basis, versus the 2.5% consensus estimate.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note — the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt — jumped 10 basis points to 5.323%, the highest level since Oct. 8, when it hit 5.354%
The longer-dated 30-year U.S. Treasury
The two-year Treasury
One basis point equals 0.01%, or 1/100th of 1%, and yields and prices move inversely.
| Symbol | Company | Yield | Change |
|—|—|—|—|
| US10Y | U.S. 10 Year Treasury | 5.302% | +0.085 |
| US1M | U.S. 1 Month Treasury | 4.024% | +0.043 |
| US1Y | U.S. 1 Year Treasury | 4.583% | +0.114 |
| US2Y | U.S. 2 Year Treasury | 4.91% | +0.117 |
| US30Y | U.S. 30 Year Treasury | 5.616% | +0.053 |
| US3M | U.S. 3 Month Treasury | 4.252% | +0.07 |
| US6M | U.S. 6 Month Treasury | 4.441% | +0.096 |
The latest inflation reading comes just two weeks before the Fed’s next interest rate decision.
With inflation remaining sticky, the central bank may need to raise rates higher and keep them there for longer in 2027, said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds.
“The bond bulls have turned around and are running the other way as 10-year yields have shot higher after today’s shocking inflation report,” he said. “Inflation is alive and the only way the Warsh Fed knows how to kill it is with another dose of higher rates.”
Investors also await the September reading for the producer price index, September retail sales data and weekly initial jobless claims figures, all due on Thursday.
Technologies
Treasury says largest U.S. banks let politics influence who received banking services
New Treasury Department findings may lend weight to President Donald Trump’s long-running grievance that major banks have discriminated against conservatives.
The Treasury Department’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency found some of the largest banks serving the U.S. allowed political considerations, public pressure and social concerns to influence decisions about who received banking services, according to a sweeping report released Wednesday.
The OCC said it reviewed the nine largest national banks under its supervision, examining nearly 100,000 complaints and about 420,000 pages of documents. It found that all nine had used “reputation risk” policies that lacked “clear,” “objective” standards and could disadvantage customers because of their political or religious views or lawful business activities.
“Banks should make decisions based on financial risk, not the political or social preferences of their employees or executives,” Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan Gould said, according to a transcript of his in remarks Wednesday in Lexington, Kentucky.
The findings may lend new regulatory weight to a grievance President Donald Trump has pressed since returning to office. Trump has repeatedly accused and sued major banks for discriminating against conservatives and has said he was personally “debanked” after the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol insurrection, claims banks have denied.
The report lands a day after the OCC and other Treasury regulators imposed more than $1.2 billion in penalties on Bank of America
The review covered JPMorgan Chase
The OCC stopped short of announcing fines or sanctions Wednesday, but said it is considering additional rules aimed at preventing political or religious discrimination.
Among the cases it highlighted: JPMorgan subsidiary WePay closed accounts belonging to merchants selling Trump and conservative merchandise. An internal screening list included terms such as “MAGA,” “Make America Great” and “America First,” even though the OCC found neither WePay nor JPMorgan had formal written standards for deciding when flagged material amounted to prohibited hate or violence.
JPMorgan told CNBC its policies prohibit discrimination based on political or religious views and said WePay’s process “did not meet our expectations.” The bank said it fixed the issue and has since shut down the business.
“We are not forcing these banks to serve every customer,” Gould said. “Instead, banks should evaluate every customer on objective, risk-based criteria.”
Citi declined to comment. The other banks did not immediately respond to request for comment.
The Bank Policy Institute, which represents large U.S. and foreign banks, said in a statement that the industry supports “clear and consistent standards that promote access while maintaining sound risk management,” adding that political or religious beliefs should not affect access to banking services.
The report also found examples cutting the other way politically.
Capital One declined relationships with an abortion-rights group after noting that about 95% of its political contributions went to Democrats, and with a public education group whose political arm endorsed only Democratic candidates. It also passed on a gun-rights group over concerns that banking it could look like an endorsement.
The practices extended beyond overtly political groups too, the report indicates.
The OCC found restrictions affecting firearms, fossil fuels, private prisons, tobacco and cryptocurrency, and said some banks’ appetite for those businesses shifted with the political climate — risking a “whipsaw” effect between administrations.
All nine banks told the OCC they have since revised or consolidated policies aimed at ensuring fair access. But the regulator said none has fully acknowledged past debanking decisions or created a comprehensive program to remediate affected customers.
Technologies
Trump’s diesel dilemma — by the numbers
Conflicts in Ukraine and Iran have created major ripple effects across global energy markets causing major price swings.
Diesel prices are surging as midterms approach – and they are likely to stay high in the near future, according to analysts.
The International Energy Agency’s monthly report for October, released Wednesday, was the latest to predict that constraints on the diesel market will likely keep prices elevated into next year. The group warned that even if refineries step up production of diesel into the year-end, inventories will likely remain strained until the second half of 2027.
Last Friday, President Donald Trump unexpectedly paused sanctions on Russian diesel fuel and announced that he reached a deal with President Vladimir Putin in which the Kremlin would release 4.8 million metric tons of diesel, or nearly 36 million barrels, to the global market.
Over the weekend, he took to Truth Social to announce an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine, but Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy later accused Russia of attacking the country’s energy facilities.
The foreign policy developments come as rising fuel prices — particularly skyrocketing diesel — have become a major flashpoint ahead of this year’s midterm election. But releasing Russian diesel to the global market is unlikely to drop prices in the near term. A note from Goldman Sachs last week even predicted that diesel prices will remain high through 2027 as refineries struggle to meet demand.
Here’s what the numbers tell us so far:
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Wholesale diesel prices have more than doubled since the beginning of 2026 through the end of September as both the war in Iran and Russia’s war in Ukraine have dramatically cut global supply.
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Trump has insisted that the war in Ukraine is to blame for high diesel prices. On July 8, Russia banned diesel exports after Ukraine struck its refineries. In the U.S., the price of a gallon of diesel rose nearly 40% between July 6 and Sept. 22.
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However, the price of diesel had already jumped after the Iran war started and was still 20% above its prewar level when Russia instituted its export ban, making that tightening of supply feel that much more acute.
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Indeed, both conflicts have created major ripple effects across global energy markets causing major swings, sometimes daily.
Technologies
Container ship sinks in Strait of Hormuz as Iran escalates attacks
A Singapore‑registered container ship capsized in the Strait of Hormuz after being struck by an unknown projectile, with all 21 crew rescued. Iran has intensified strikes on commercial vessels in the region, aiming to curb a rebound in crude oil exports.
A container ship capsized in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday amid Iran’s intensified assaults on commercial shipping.
The Singapore‑registered GFS Pride sank after being hit by an unknown projectile and igniting. All 21 crew members were rescued without injury, the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore said.
“These attacks are unprovoked, unjustifiable and violate international law,” the Singapore maritime authority said in a Wednesday statement.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard said early Wednesday that the vessel exploded and sank after striking a naval mine, per state news agency Tasnim. However, maritime security firm Marisks says there is no independent proof that a mine caused the Pride’s sinking.
Marisks warned in a security alert that Iran’s claims “align with a sustained psychological operations campaign designed to sow fear, heighten uncertainty and deter commercial shipping” in the Hormuz area.
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In recent weeks Iran has ramped up strikes on commercial vessels passing through Hormuz, seeking to curb a rebound in crude oil exports via the waterway.
According to the UK Maritime Trade Operations Centre, over 20 ships—primarily oil tankers—have been attacked this month across Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.
The International Maritime Organization, a UN agency, reports that this month’s attacks have resulted in two sailors missing and 12 injured.
Crude oil exports via Hormuz reached prewar levels in September after U.S. forces escorted tankers through the strait, yet shipments have since declined as attacks intensified.
Data from Kpler shows crude exports through Hormuz averaged 8.5 million barrels per day in the week ending Oct. 12, a drop of roughly 40% from pre‑war levels.
Overall shipments from the region—including pipelines to the Gulf of Oman and Red Sea—were 14 million barrels per day, about 20% lower than prewar figures, the data indicated.
Kpler reports that daily flows are highly variable, with just 3 million barrels moving through Hormuz on Monday and 6 million barrels on Friday.
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