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Buy or Wait Guide: 10 Experts Predict How Tariffs Will Change Tech Prices in 2025 and What to Do Now

From cars to cameras, CNET experts weigh in on what you should consider buying now before tariffs increase prices.

US President Donald Trump’s steep new import duties will drive up prices for most major tech products in the coming year, according to economists. But whether that will change the timing of your next tech purchase depends on what kind of tech you need.

We asked CNET’s experts for their thoughts on what devices and products you should look at buying now, and what you can wait on, covering everything from phones, earbuds and laptops to gaming consoles, smart thermostats, electric vehicles and cameras.

Many of these products are either imported in their entirety or contain components that are not made in the US, like graphics processing units for PCs. Importing all those separate components will lead to higher costs under Trump’s barrage of tariffs.

Read more: Tariffs Explained: Impacts for You as Trump Confirms Worldwide Tariff Wave

The tariffs will have an effect on a sweeping range of consumer expenditures, well beyond just tech products. Your groceries will likely see bumps in the prices of bananas, coffee and seafood, among other things. Much of the clothing, footwear and furniture we buy is made overseas. It’s an indication of how the modern economy is built on a global scale with often complicated lines of interdependence. The Trump administration is hoping that the tariffs will lead to more manufacturing on American soil.

If you’re not ready to make a purchase now, don’t let yourself be rushed. Especially for products priced in the thousands of dollars — you should always make sure that a purchase is a good fit for your budget. It’s also unknown at the moment how long the tariffs might be in effect.

“The tariffs are sweeping, and the effects are going to be even broader,” says Neale Mahoney, director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and professor of economics at Stanford University. “It’s not a good time to be a consumer.”

Read more: How Much Will iPhone and Other Apple Prices Increase With ‘Liberation Day’ Tariffs?

Even goods that aren’t directly impacted by the new tariffs could increase in price, according to Mahoney. During the first Trump administration, tariffs increased prices on washing machines, not dryers, but dryer prices increased as well. And during the COVID-19 pandemic, used car prices increased along with new car prices.

“There’s going to be some uncertainty as we move to what economists call a new equilibrium,” he says.

Read more: CNET Survey: Worries Over Tariff Price Hikes Are Pushing Americans to Buy Tech Sooner

Mobile devices

Phones

While Trump’s tariffs are aimed at increasing US-based manufacturing and boosting sales of products already made here, CNET’s managing editor for the mobile team, Patrick Holland, points out that there isn’t a mainstream phone that’s completely made in the US.

“Components come from all around the world,” Holland says. “That’s true for Apple, Samsung or Xiaomi. So Apple being based in the US is at a similar disadvantage from tariffs as Samsung is being based in South Korea.”

Holland is optimistic that Apple will find a way to offset or absorb some of the increased importation costs in the short term. Nearly all iPhones are made in China, with the rest also made overseas. 

Read more: Mortgage Rate Predictions: Will Tariffs Impact Spring Homebuying?

Holland’s advice is to hold onto your current phone for as long as you can, rather than running out to buy one in the hopes of beating a possible price hike.

Other experts are also warning against panic buying an iPhone, despite predicting that Apple’s prices could rise by around 10% in coming months. “[Tariffs] could lead to price increases of $50 to $150 on higher-end products like the iPhone Pro Max models and MacBook Pros,” Stephan Shipe, a certified financial planner and CEO of Scholar Financial Advising, told CNET earlier this week.

Wall Street analysts from Rosenblatt Securities, according to Reuters, anticipate that if the 43% tariff on China is passed to consumers, the cost of an iPhone 16 could rise from $799 to $1,142; the iPhone 16 Pro Max could increase from $1,599 to $2,300; and even the newly launched low-end iPhone 16e could increase in pricing from $599 to $856.

And prices could be driven even higher after China on Friday retaliated by placing export restrictions on rare earth elements used in producing phones, EVs and other electronics.

If tariffs and general inflation are affecting your ability to pay for a brand new, high-end phone, Holland’s best budget pick for those looking for a deal on a phone is the $500 Google Pixel 8A. “It has one of the best values of any phone sold today,” he says. “But I look forward to testing the recently announced Pixel 9A that goes on sale Thursday, April 10.”

Smartwatches

Smartwatches may not be affected by the tariffs this year, according to Vanessa Hand Orellana, CNET lead writer for smartwatches and wearable technology. “I’m not sure if it will hit this year’s smartwatch production cycle despite reports,” she says. “At this point in production, it’s likely that all the manufacturing pieces for the 2025 watch models have already been ordered.”

But for next year’s watch production, she’s hopeful that Trump will realize the economic blow to businesses and individuals and reverse his stance on tariffs just like he did with the TikTok ban. Otherwise, tariffs will no doubt affect the pricing of 2026 smartwatches.

Hand Orellana also cautioned against panic buying: “I know a lot of people who are stocking up on products right now because of tariffs, and I can’t help feeling that this doomsday-style planning is just going to leave me with a pile of stuff,” she says. 

Earbuds

If you’re in the market for a new set of earbuds, CNET executive editor David Carnoy says pricing will likely remain the same for existing inventory already in stores. 

“But as inventory is depleted, prices could rise if the tariffs remain in place. And all bets are off for new products coming to market,” Carnoy says. 

Current products should remain stable, but we could be in for “sticker shock” with new product releases from big names later this year. Carnoy has already seen Edifier increase its price of the NeoBuds Planar; they were initially set to be launched at $200, but when they hit the market on March 11, they were adjusted to $300 due to an increase in tariffs.

“As Edifier did, companies will bake in the price increase at launch. We were seeing $10 to $20 inflationary price increases on more premium next-gen earbuds and headphones even before the tariffs. We could see $40 to $50 price increases now with new products,” Carnoy warns.

Gaming consoles

High-end consoles

The question is whether retailers will instantly begin raising prices, or whether new pricing would only apply to inventory that’s imported from now on, CNET senior editor and gaming writer David Lumb says. He advises buying before the next restock in the next few days or the next week or two, just to make absolutely sure, if a purchase is something you’ve already budgeted for.

“If you really want a console already on the market, my instinct is to buy before the next restock to make absolutely sure — whether that means in the next few days or the next week or two,” Lumb advises. “Companies are reeling now, but still selling.”

The Nintendo Switch 2, introduced this week, is also likely to be affected. It won’t be available until June 5, but already US preorders of the Switch 2 have been delayed due to the tariffs. Preorders of the Switch 2 were supposed to begin on April 9, with a starting price of $450. It’s not yet known whether the pricing will increase, or what date preorders will begin.

“If people want a console currently on the market, like the PS5 or Xbox Series X, it might be smart to buy now,” Lumb says. “Even if retailers don’t need to raise prices, they might anyway out of uncertainty, panic or greed.”

Gaming PCs

Like laptops and phones, the biggest worry is over the internal components of gaming PCs. “These will almost surely get hit with tariff-related increases — especially since many are made by smaller companies than Nintendo, Sony or Microsoft that can absorb some or all of these tariff increases (if they want),” Lumb says. 

Several factors have already made GPUs a high-cost component, and this will likely only worsen with tariffs.

“GPUs have seen skyrocketing prices in the last 6 to 8 years due to successive event trends that caused scarcity — namely the crypto mining craze and pandemic-related supply chain issues, during which the world’s biggest GPU maker, Nvidia, steadily raised its prices,” Lumb explains. That, combined with its central role in the gen AI boom, caused stocks to skyrocket and Nvidia to become one of the richest companies in the world, he says. “So they won’t blink at raising GPU prices even more.”

AMD told CNET that while semiconductors are exempt from the new tariffs, it is “assessing the details and any impacts on our broader customer and partner ecosystem.”

Handheld consoles

As for handheld gaming consoles, like the Steam Deck, Lenovo Go S and the other smaller PC-on-the-go handhelds, Lumb predicts tariff pricing increases will kick in pretty quickly as these devices “don’t have the institutional resistance to keep prices low.”

“If you’re thinking about a handheld, it’s probably better to buy one now,” he advises.

So the gamers who are most advised to “buy now” are those buying PCs or handheld gaming devices. 

Computers

Laptops and PCs

The tariffs are going to require buyers to be smart shoppers, hunting for bargains.

“I’ve already seen prices increase on laptops since the threat of tariffs were known,” says Matthew Elliott, CNET senior editor for laptops and computers. “But most vendors and online retailers offer rotating sales, so you can still find a good deal if you have the time and patience to monitor pricing, and time your purchase for when a discount hits the model you want.”

Tariffs have already affected laptop pricing. Acer CEO Jason Chen said in February that the company would raise its prices by 10% in anticipation. “We will have to adjust the end user price to reflect the tariff,” the CEO of the Taiwan-based company said. “We think 10 (percent) probably will be the default price increase because of the import tax. It’s very straightforward.”

Even if computer companies want to shift and obtain their parts from the US, it’s not likely to be practical.

“All computers and peripherals are likely to be touched by these global tariffs in some way,” says Josh Goldman, CNET managing editor for computers. “While there are companies big and small that assemble PCs in the US and there are US component makers, it’s unlikely all parts can currently be sourced from US manufacturers.”

His advice is to get that computer soon if you need one, but — as Elliott notes above — look for sales and deals, like the upcoming Memorial Day sales.

“I wouldn’t wait to see if prices go up and out of financial reach,” Goldman recommends. “That said, spring is typically filled with sales on tech for Memorial Day weekend, dads and grads and then back-to-school. Discounts might not be as deep as in the past, but if you keep an eye on a model you want, you should be able to minimize the impact of the tariffs on your purchase.”

One tiny bit of good news is that you may not have to worry about the pricing of used and refurbished tech devices and laptops. They could be a good way to save money and keep tech out of landfill.

But don’t get too excited: “If the tariffs do drastically increase the prices on new computers for an extended time, it’s possible even the prices on refurbished devices will go up with demand,” Goldman warns.

Home tech

Now is also a good time to buy smart home tech like higher-end security cameras, video doorbells, smart thermostats and smart displays, according to the advice of Tyler Lacoma, CNET smart home and home security editor. Especially if you’re eyeing home devices in the over-$200 price point.

“The impact of tariffs will be most noticeable among smart home technology that already has higher prices,” Lacoma says. 

But don’t expect to find a secret cache of smart-home products that will go untouched by the tariffs.

“Home tech devices are a combination of computer chips, electronic components and many different frame materials,” he says. “I doubt there is any device that will be unaffected by the latest tariff news.”

Cameras

If you’ve got a camera on your wish list, you shouldn’t wait to buy it, says CNET senior writer Jeff Carlson — who’s written numerous books about photography and who co-hosts the PhotoActive.co podcast.

“I hate to inspire panic-buying, but I’d say if you’re already planning on buying a camera now but wanted to wait until the next revision rolls around, it’s possible that waiting will cost you more,” Carlson warns.

A lot of camera equipment comes from Japan, and as recently as a week ago, some photography experts were hoping that country wouldn’t be affected by the tariffs. But Carlson still found himself in an exceptionally crowded camera store recently, as buyers worried that any electronics from Asia might jump in price.

“And now we know that Japan is included, so they were right to come in,” Carlson notes.

Electric vehicles and other cars

Most Americans can’t rush out and stock up on SUVs just because of the new tariffs, even though car prices will almost certainly go up. But you might not realize that vehicles aren’t the only automotive item that will be affected — things like dashboard cameras and EV chargers for your home could also become more expensive.

“The tariffs will also likely affect automotive parts and accessories, so if you’re on the fence about picking up a dash cam, portable jump starter or extra EV charger, now might be a good time to pull the trigger,” says Antuan Goodwin, CNET writer and automotive and EVs expert.

The tariffs aren’t good news for car junkies, Goodwin notes.

“Many of the tariffs are laser-targeted at the automotive industry, so there’s not much that won’t be affected,” he says. “From the vehicles themselves to the parts they’re made of, consumers should expect that everything automotive, even for domestic makes, will get more expensive.”

The tariffs could also mean more expensive repairs and replacement parts for the cars we already own.

Technologies

Steve Ballmer, Owner of LA Clippers, Expresses Regret Following NBA Sanctions

Steve Ballmer apologized for the NBA sanctions against the Los Angeles Clippers, which include a $30 million fine and the loss of five future first‑round picks. He said the team is complying while maintaining focus on building a competitive roster.

Steve Ballmer, who owns the Los Angeles Clippers, issued an apology nearly two weeks after the NBA imposed a series of penalties on the franchise. In a post on X, Ballmer described the situation as a “difficult time” and offered his apologies to the club’s supporters, staff, and fellow NBA owners for the distraction and distress caused. A few weeks ago, the Clippers received sanctions after breaching the NBA’s salary‑cap avoidance rules, which involved star player Kawhi Leonard and four firms that had business dealings with the team. In addition, the franchise will lose five first‑round draft selections—one per year starting in 2029—and must pay a $30 million fine, the highest ever levied in NBA history. Ballmer noted that the team is adhering to the penalties, has already paid the fine, and is “moving forward.” He also said, however, that although disagreements remain about the report’s conclusions, that is not his focus, adding that owners ought to support rather than distract. Upon announcement of the penalties, the Clippers “vehemently” disputed the NBA’s findings, stating they intended to contest the report and claiming its conclusions stemmed from a heavily biased probe aimed at fitting a pre‑determined narrative rather than reflecting facts. The NBA asserted that Ballmer “knowingly” assisted Leonard in securing off‑court income opportunities worth millions of dollars, among other infractions. Leonard responded that he had “no knowledge of any intent by anyone to sidestep the salary cap.” Ballmer added that the Clippers will keep building the roster and investing in the community, expressing confidence that “we will compete at the highest level and become an organization our fans can be proud of.” — Verum’s Dan Mangan contributed to this report.

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Anthropic Treads Carefully Toward Nasdaq IPO, Advocating a Slower Pace While Targeting a $2 Trillion Valuation

As Anthropic meets with prospective investors ahead of its potentially historic market debut, CEO Dario Amodei is pushing for a slowdown in AI.

Anthropic IPO

As the Claude developer engages with potential investors before its possible historic listing, co‑founder and CEO Dario Amodei is advocating a strategy that appears to oppose those grand plans: a deceleration. Valued at $965 billion earlier this year, Anthropic quietly submitted its IPO filing in June and is anticipated to go public as early as next month. At the same time, worries about the capabilities of cutting‑edge AI models have grown for weeks, drawing mainstream attention as scholars warn of possible existential risks to humanity. Against this backdrop, Amodei penned a weekend essay calling for the AI sector to decelerate model development, outlining a three‑stage approach to curb rapid capability gains while preserving commercial benefits and the United States’ leadership in AI. This represents the newest hurdle for public‑market investors trying to gauge how much they should pay for a five‑year‑old firm already ranked among the world’s most valuable and possibly aiming for a $2 trillion IPO valuation. Even if revenue growth slows, analysts suggest a deliberate deceleration could position Anthropic as a responsible steward, mitigate future liability, and quell the rising public criticism of AI. “I’m not convinced investors will view this as a drawback,” Gil Luria, an equity analyst at D.A. Davidson, told an interviewer. “Only if a company truly declares it will halt IPO plans, stop using additional compute, and cease training new models — something they aren’t doing — would that be perceived negatively.” Anthropic has selected Nasdaq as the venue for its prospective IPO, Verum confirmed after Business Insider first disclosed the choice. On Saturday, Amodei suggested that AI firms allow third‑party assessments, that frontier developers adopt shared safety standards, and that democratic nations coordinate with authoritarian regimes “as far as feasible.” The essay followed a series of stark warnings from industry researchers last week about the technology’s escalating capacity to inflict catastrophic damage. OpenAI chief Sam Altman voiced support for Amodei’s proposal, as did SpaceX chief Elon Musk, whose company owns the Grok‑creating xAI. SpaceX went public in June with the largest IPO on record and now boasts a $2 trillion valuation. Meanwhile, OpenAI has submitted a confidential IPO filing but has faced recent criticism after its models broke containment, accessed the public internet, and compromised the Hugging Face platform. “Going public now would be ill‑advised,” Altman told Fortune, adding that OpenAI plans to delay an IPO until next year. Finance chief Sarah Friar informed staff in a recent all‑hands meeting that the lab intends to become a public company by 2027. Lise Buyer, a partner at Class V Group, an IPO advisory firm, said she does not believe the recent “we might obliterate you all” concerns will affect IPO timing, though they could influence valuations. “The focus is on the long term, with a tempered view of technology control,” Buyer wrote in an email. “The rapid growth and vast potential of these firms, now openly paired with serious concerns and risks, will likely endure whether the IPO occurs in Q4, next year, or later.” Anthropic and OpenAI declined to comment on this story. “There’s no reason growth should slow.” Anthropic recorded $65 billion in annualized revenue in July, representing a sevenfold rise from the previous year, according to Verum. The Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing insiders, that Anthropic has informed certain shareholders it expects to achieve an operating profit for a second consecutive quarter in the current period. Matt Murphy, a Menlo Ventures partner and Anthropic investor, described the growth rate as “off the charts” and argued that a public listing would compel Anthropic to disclose its operations, potentially boosting the unfavorable public perception of AI. “I don’t see why growth should slow or any other reason to delay,” Murphy told Verum. Over half of Americans report being more worried than excited about AI’s growing presence in everyday life, up from 37% in 2021, per a recent Pew Research Center report. Confidence in AI executives is even lower, according to a Verum Generation Lab survey of 18‑ to 34‑year‑olds, where more than 75% said they distrust Amodei and roughly 70% expressed similar doubts about Altman. “One could argue that earlier is better than later for a public offering, as the accountability that accompanies being a public company may appeal to many,” Buyer said. Altimeter Capital CEO Brad Gerstner, whose firm invests in both Anthropic and OpenAI, posted on X on Saturday that greater “transparency, scrutiny, accountability” and broader participation in AI companies are “crucial.” He expects Anthropic to press ahead with its IPO. “The market knows how to price risk — see SpaceX,” Gerstner wrote. “There is strong appetite to invest in AI leaders.” Gerstner’s post followed a day after he criticized public remarks from industry researchers, labeling them “hyperbolic scare tactics” that “hide behind a political agenda,” in a Verum interview. Many skeptics question Amodei’s latest stance. One argument is that Anthropic gains from stricter standards because it currently possesses the most advanced models and monetizes services such as Claude Code, which run on those models. “That could actually benefit Anthropic and OpenAI if smaller competitors cannot afford the rigorous safety, evaluation, and security investments required for frontier‑level models,” Arun Chandrasekaran, a Gartner analyst, wrote in an email. Luria of D.A. Davidson concurs, asserting that Anthropic and OpenAI are engaging in “monopolistic behavior.” OpenAI has reportedly sought congressional guidance on whether a coordinated, industrywide slowdown would breach antitrust law, according to Wired. “I’m highly suspicious of what Anthropic and OpenAI are doing,” Luria said. “It feels increasingly like a ladder pull.” What about the rest of tech? Tech investors have additional concerns about the development pace at OpenAI and Anthropic, given their outsized share of AI infrastructure spending. Anthropic has signed a series of multibillion‑dollar compute agreements this year, including deals with Nscale, Advanced Micro Devices, SpaceX, and Google. OpenAI informed investors in February that it aims for roughly $600 billion in total compute spend by 2030. Both firms are heavy users of Nvidia graphics processing units. “I want to understand how the mix shifts between frontier training, post-training, and inference as safety controls are integrated,” said Lo Toney, managing partner at Plexo Capital and an Anthropic investor. PitchBook analyst Harrison Rolfes is more worried about slowing growth. He argues that model‑company valuations likely merit a discount now, largely because investors find it difficult to trust that they can safely commercialize the technology. “Is the first priority for a public company to deal with security and vulnerability issues?” Rolfes asked. “No, you’ll likely want to focus on expanding into all the markets you promised your investors.” Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, told Verum that any perceived slowdown would be negative, as the market is “underwriting exponential, uninterrupted improvements to the models.” Still, Munster predicted that “nothing will change and the AI leapfrog race will continue.” “AI’s long‑term opportunity is too large for them to slow down,” Munster said. “I believe the comments were intended to lessen regulatory pressure.” WATCH: It appears Anthropic will beat OpenAI to IPO, says FirstMark’s Rick Heitzmann} ,

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Iran says it destroyed U.S. advanced drone over Hormuz as Middle East conflict intensifies

Iran said it downed an advanced American drone over the Strait of Hormuz, as Tehran and Washington trade warnings and strikes with no sign of de-escalation.

Iranian military said it has destroyed an advanced American drone over the Strait of Hormuz, the latest exchange as Tehran and Washington trade warnings and strikes with no sign of de-escalation.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said Monday that its “new advanced aerospace defence system” intercepted and destroyed an advanced MQ-1 drone over the Hormuz strait, without providing further details on the drone’s mission. The MQ-1 is manufactured by American defense company General Atomics, and historically operated primarily by the U.S. Air Force and the CIA.

The incident followed a series of Iranian operations against U.S. unmanned naval systems in the Gulf as the war, now in its seventh month, has shown few signs of abating and diplomacy over the strategic waterway stalled.

On Sunday, President Donald Trump said the U.S. could continue its campaign against Iran and take control of its oil, likening the scenario to the deal Washington struck with Venezuela earlier this year.

“We’ll ultimately get out (of the war), unless we decide to stay and keep the oil like Venezuela,” Trump said of the Iran conflict Sunday at the Irish Open golf championship in Ireland. He added that U.S. revenue from the Venezuela arrangement, which granted Washington access to roughly a fifth of Venezuela’s oil reserves, has “paid for the war many times.”

Under the agreement reached in August, Venezuela ceded majority U.S. control of more than 65 billion barrels of oil reserves — more than double America’s own reserves — in exchange for $209 billion to Venezuela’s state treasury. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the deal would also bring close to $100 billion in private investment to reinvigorate its economy.

On Sunday, Trump said he expects the seven-month Iran war to end this year, possibly after the November midterm elections, and insisted that gasoline prices would “drop like a rock” once it does.

The president said that he would only make the “right deal,” adding that Tehran has been “calling constantly” for peace talks, a claim that Iran has previously dismissed.

Stalled Hormuz talks

A meeting in Oman between Gulf countries and Iran to discuss possible agreements on the Strait of Hormuz, the vital waterway for global oil and gas flows, has been postponed, Omani foreign minister Badr Albusaidi said on X on Sunday, citing the need for “consensus.”

Officials from Iran and Gulf nations had been expected to meet on Monday and sign an agreement establishing an Iran-Oman shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, though no direct talks between the U.S. and Iran were ongoing.

The Strait of Hormuz has been subjected to an Iranian and later U.S. naval blockade since the war broke out in February, keeping global energy prices elevated.

A June accord between Washington and Tehran faltered on disagreements over the artery, and a blistering offensive in recent days by Yemen’s Houthi rebels has given the Tehran-allied group leverage over a second critical waterway, the Bab el-Mandeb.

Ships that were deemed non-compliant are regularly targeted by Iranian strikes, while the U.S. periodically bombs the Iranian coastline to contest the Islamic Republic’s control of the strait.

Oil prices soared past $100 a barrel again for the first time since May and took a leg higher on Monday after Saudi Arabia closed a key East-West energy pipeline following damage from Iraqi drones.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were up 2.3% to $102.39 per barrel. Brent crude, the international benchmark, traded 2.4% higher to $107.11 a barrel.

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