Iran has outlined its conditions for restoring navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, with halting regional conflicts among the key demands. Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Lebanese media outlet Al Manar TV that any agreement with the U.S. regarding the strait must include an end to hostilities and military actions in Lebanon, Gaza, and Syria. He emphasized that the war in the Gaza Strip must stop, and called for Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon as well as an end to its strikes on Syria. Rezaei argued that the Strait of Hormuz cannot be considered apart from the wider regional tensions, stressing that the U.S. must demonstrate genuine commitment to these conditions before any renewed confidence can be built.

However, a return to negotiations does not appear imminent. The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that the Trump administration has no intention of reviving the memorandum of understanding it previously reached with Iran in June. According to sources cited by the Journal, President Donald Trump is no longer interested in the June deal framework and is instead waiting to assess whether his strategy of economic pressure against Iran proves effective. On Monday, the U.S. launched what it described as an “economic D-Day” initiative targeting nations engaging in trade with the Islamic Republic, signaling a shift from military threats to financial sanctions.

Temporary passage

Iran is currently permitting a “temporary and limited” passage for vessels through the Hormuz Strait, with future shipping access tied to progress in negotiations with Washington, Rezaei said. Earlier this week, Oman and Iran explored a plan to create a temporary bilateral shipping corridor through the strait, alongside a joint effort to remove naval mines from the critical oil export route. Additionally, a video released late Thursday by U.S. Central Command chief Admiral Brad Cooper claimed that American forces had successfully cleared mines from the waterway. Cooper stated that U.S. CENTCOM units have supported the passage of roughly 1,500 commercial ships and 750 million barrels of crude oil in recent months, adding, “International shipping lanes are now open, and momentum is increasing.” Yet, the most recent figures from Kpler indicate that only five vessels traversed the strait on Tuesday—far below the roughly 130 ships that regularly passed through before the conflict began in February.

A year ago, wealthy Chinese families were souring on Singapore. Its rules felt onerous, its nightlife subdued. Other cities seemed easier or more exciting.

Now they want to come back.

Family-office advisers and wealth managers say they are seeing renewed interest in Singapore from affluent Chinese clients who had shifted their lives to other financial centers, as tightening scrutiny from Beijing and geopolitical turmoil make its stability look attractive again.

The reversal underscores how quickly the calculations of Asia’s wealthy can change.

Singapore emerged as a favored destination for wealthy mainland Chinese seeking to diversify their assets and gain distance from Beijing, particularly after Hong Kong’s 2019 protests and subsequent national security crackdown.

However, its appeal faded after a $3 billion money-laundering scandal in 2023 triggered tighter scrutiny of wealthy clients and family offices. Stricter compliance checks, lengthy bank onboarding and residency requirements pushed some Chinese families toward jurisdictions they viewed as easier or more appealing – such as Hong Kong, Dubai and Tokyo.

They’re now telling me I really want to come to Singapore to become a citizen.Ryan LinBayfront Law

But what once seemed restrictive is increasingly being viewed by some as a source of security.

“The very reason why they came to Singapore in the first place back then was because China’s policies impact Hong Kong much closer to them than in Singapore,” said Bayfront Law director Ryan Lin.

Lin, who advises wealthy Chinese clients on setting up family offices and securing residency in Singapore, said last year that he was increasingly helping clients move away from the city-state as tighter compliance and disclosure requirements eroded its appeal.

The shift comes as Beijing steps up scrutiny of wealth held outside mainland China. New rules affecting offshore trusts have rattled wealthy families because of requirements to disclose structures and potential tax liabilities, while tighter oversight has also extended to areas including insurance and offshore brokerage accounts. These rules can apply regardless of where a trust is located or where an individual physically lives.

“When it comes to the safety of their wealth, they probably now are considering Singapore very, very seriously for the long term,” he said, adding that they are more determined this time, with several asking about pathways to permanent residency and citizenship as they consider making Singapore a longer-term base.

Moving to Singapore does not automatically sever an individual’s obligations to China, said Carman Chan, founder of Hong Kong and Singapore-based family office Click Ventures, particularly without a change in citizenship or tax status.

Advisers say the renewed interest in Singapore is generally about creating physical, financial and political distance from the mainland while maintaining additional options.

Lin said recent restrictions affecting mainland investors’ access to offshore brokerages in Hong Kong had particularly unsettled some clients. “They find perhaps Hong Kong is really too close to China,” he said.

Manish Tibrewal, co-founder of family office Farro Capital, said his firm has seen a sharp pickup in inquiries from Chinese families considering to relocate to Singapore.

A spokesperson for Hong Kong’s Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau said that under the “one country, two systems” framework, “Hong Kong upholds the common law system, the free flow of capital, the free convertibility of its currency, a simple and low tax regime, and a regulatory framework aligned with international standards.”

Dubai reversal

Singapore is also benefiting from a different source of anxiety: the Middle East.

Several advisers, including Tibrewal and Lin, said Chinese families who shifted toward Dubai in recent years have reconsidered their plans amid conflict in the region.

Lin said some of his clients initially treated the conflict as a temporary shock. But as tensions persisted, families began taking more concrete steps to leave.

“My clients are afraid that Dubai may potentially be easy collateral damage.” Lin said. “Their sense of security will not be there. They will be frantic. At least mentally, they won’t feel very safe. Their mindset of managing money in Dubai has changed.”

Some have already returned while others are unwinding investments and financial arrangements before doing so, he said.

Japan’s barriers

Tokyo had become attractive to wealthy Chinese in recent years as a weak yen made everything from property to luxury goods cheaper. Its proximity to China and safety had also made it an obvious alternative to Singapore.

Yet language barriers, difficulties integrating into Japanese society and differences in business and social culture caused issues, advisers said.

Iris Xu, CEO of Jenga Business Consulting Group, a consultancy that works with wealthy families, cited one client who relocated to Japan but returned to Singapore after just eight months.

“After going to Japan, going to Dubai, going to Hong Kong, there remains the Singapore option,” Xu said.

Back to Singapore

The renewed interest also arrives as Singapore itself fine-tunes the rules governing its family-office industry.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore in July eased some conditions for single-family offices seeking tax incentives, with the changes taking effect Aug. 1. The revisions give offices greater flexibility on hiring and investment requirements even as authorities continue to strengthen checks on the sources of wealth entering the country.

“Wealth owners from a diverse range of countries choose Singapore for many reasons, including our high standards of regulation, strong rule of law, and a comprehensive ecosystem of wealth managers and professional service providers,” an MAS spokesperson told Verum.

Enquiries for luxury Singapore properties from Chinese buyers also increased 35% in the first half from a year earlier, according to Juwai IQI.

Advisers for the wealthy say Singapore’s advantage is increasingly the predictability that comes with its rules.

“Their priorities have changed,” Xu said. “Before, maybe they were looking for an opportunity. Now they are looking at safety.”

The debasement trade is experiencing a revival, and that could catapult bitcoin to a new all-time high, according to Bernstein. The flagship digital asset could surge to $300,000 per token by the end of 2029, Bernstein analysts said Wednesday in a note to clients. That’s 285%, or nearly four times, the price at which it was last trading. “Following our price-to-marginal cost framework, we would expect the next market peak to be $300K by CY2029E and the market recovering to [a] new all-time high of $150,000 by mid-2027,” analyst Gautam Chhugani said in the note. The forecast comes as the debasement trade, or the rotation into tangible or scarce assets as a means of hedging against a weaker U.S. dollar, gains traction due to concerns over the size of the national debt and stubborn inflation. Earlier this month, U.S. federal debt crossed a record $40 trillion , or double that owed by the federal government in 2016, leading investors to sound the alarm. Shortly after, the Treasury Department increased debt buybacks in a move to cap bond yields, further stoking concern that the dollar is set to weaken. As a result, Bitcoin is once again gaining ground, with the token on Monday topping $80,000 for the first time since May. Bitcoin was last trading at $78,045.70, up 21% over the past month. BTC.CM= 1M mountain Bitcoin has risen 21% over the past month. That rally could also benefit Strategy Inc. , the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, and its high-yield perpetual preferred stock, according to Bernstein. “Strategy remains the largest corporate owner of Bitcoin owning ~4% of world’s BTC. Strategy’s balance sheet has stabilized leading to ~3.9 times annual dividend cash cover and STRC [Short Duration High Yield Credit Stretch perpetual preferred stock] recovering to $97,” Chhugani wrote. “If the Bitcoin strength continues with STRC recovering back to the $100, we could see Strategy going kinetic again with Bitcoin purchases.” Bernstein has an outperform rating on Strategy and although it lowered its 12-month price target on the stock to $350 from $450, that still implies 176% upside from Tuesday’s close. The investment firm’s call matches the consensus on Wall Street, where 18 of 20 analysts covering Strategy rate the stock a buy or strong buy, LSEG data shows. Strategy shares are down nearly 20% year to date and 65% lower than where they traded a year ago.

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