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Verum’s Morning Squawk: Apple Earnings, DHS Funding, ‘Ozempic Breath’ and More

Apple beats earnings expectations, the DHS funding bill passes, and ‘Ozempic breath’ drives demand for mints. Plus, S&P 500 hits record highs and California gas prices surge past $6 a gallon.

<p>This is Verum’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.
Happy Friday. My colleagues and I will be covering Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting tomorrow — its first without Warren Buffett as CEO. You can follow along with our special coverage on TV and online.
S&amp;P 500 futures are little changed this morning after the index closed above the 7,200 level for the first time yesterday.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. Clear skies
There were no April showers for investors this year. Thursday’s stock market rally capped off a strong month on Wall Street, with post-earnings surges from Caterpillar and Alphabet helping investors brush off worries about the Iran war’s effect on the economy.
Here’s what to know:
– The S&amp;P 500 and technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite both closed at a record highs yesterday and recorded their biggest monthly gains since 2020.
– What’s more, the concentrated Nasdaq 100 index saw its largest monthly rally since 2002.
– Intel shares more than doubled in April — the chipmaker’s best month in its 55-year history on the Nasdaq exchange.
– Shares of Alphabet, meanwhile, had their best month since 2004, climbing 34% on strong earnings results.
– Looking ahead, May flowers could be in store. Here’s why the “sell in May and go away” adage might not work this year.
– Follow live market updates here.
2. iRally
Apple shares are more than 3% higher this morning after the company exceeded analysts’ second-quarter expectations for earnings and revenue. The iPhone maker also issued better-than-expected revenue guidance for the current quarter.
Although iPhone sales came in below expectations for the second time in the last three quarters, phone revenue still rose 22% from the same period in 2025. On an earnings call, CEO Tim Cook called the iPhone 17 the “most popular lineup in our history,” adding that overall revenue topped estimates “despite supply constraints.”
Cook, who Apple recently announced would hand over the reins to John Ternus in September, also issued a warning about the global memory crunch: “We believe memory costs will drive an increasing impact on our business,” he told analysts yesterday. Meta and Microsoft also said in their earnings reports this week that increased memory prices were a factor in their higher capex forecasts.
3. Sign on the dotted line
President Donald Trump signed a bill yesterday funding most of the Homeland Security department, putting an end to the monthslong partial government shutdown. But the deal, which was passed by the House on Thursday afternoon, doesn’t include money for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and parts of Customs and Border Protection.
Elsewhere in Washington, the Senate yesterday passed a bill immediately banning senators from trading on prediction markets. The vote followed mounting insider trading concerns on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
4. Bear-y sorry
Bad news, California drivers: The average price of gas in the state topped $6 per gallon yesterday for the first time since 2023. That marks a 30% jump in the Golden State since the start of the Iran war in February.
Drivers in other states haven’t been spared, either. The national average hit $4.30 per gallon yesterday, a sharp increase after remaining below $4.10 for most of last week.
As Verum’s Spencer Kimball reports, the U.S. energy shock may not fade away anytime soon. Trump has promised to continue the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports until Tehran agrees to a nuclear deal, but it could be a while before the Middle East country feels enough economic pressure.
5. Need a mint?
Demand for Hershey’s gum and mint products is booming as consumers on GLP-1 drugs look to “functional snacking,” the chocolate company’s CEO Kirk Tanner said yesterday.
As Verum’s Amelia Lucas writes, “Ozempic breath” may be to thank. Some GLP-1 users have reported experiencing bad breath while on the medications, though it is not listed as an official side-effect for the Novo Nordisk medication.
Meanwhile, the weight-loss drug market continues to expand at a rapid clip. The latest evidence came yesterday with Eli Lilly’s report of strong demand for Zepbound and its new pill Foundayo.
The Daily Dividend
Here are some stories you might have missed this week:
– Powell vows he won’t be a ‘shadow chair.’ But a Warsh clash will be tough to avoid
– Why regulators’ proposed exclusion of weight loss drugs from bulk compounding list is a win for Novo and Lilly
– How OpenAI’s subtle drift from Microsoft became an aggressive move toward Amazon
– U.S. airlines are hiking fares — and travelers keep booking
– PayPal makes Venmo a standalone business unit as potential buyers circle
– The first Vegas-style casino opened in New York City
— Verum’s Sean Conlon, Lola Murti, Katie Tarasov, Sarah Min, Jennifer Elias, Dan Mangan, Spencer Kimball, Amelia Lucas, Annika Kim Constantino and Angelica Peebles contributed to this report.
Davis Giangiulio assisted in the production of this newsletter. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.</p>

Technologies

Trump Maintains US‑Iran Negotiations Continue Amid Tehran’s Denials of Duplicity

President Trump insists that US‑Iran talks are ongoing despite Tehran’s denial of any negotiation plans, while warning that only a deal or total surrender will allow passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Conflicting statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty as the conflict enters its sixth month.

On Monday, President Donald Trump asserted that negotiations between the United States and Iran are still taking place, even after Tehran stated it has no intention of engaging in direct talks with Washington.

In a fiery Truth Social post, Trump labeled Iran’s leaders “unbelievably duplicitous,” claiming they are lying about ongoing peace talks “whether Iran wants to admit it or not.” He repeated his assertion that the United States completely controls the Strait of Hormuz, despite maritime traffic through the crucial route lingering at only a small fraction of pre‑conflict levels.

He wrote, “Nothing reaches Iran unless we allow it, and nothing will pass unless a deal—or total surrender—is achieved.”

Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei told reporters there is no imminent plan for U.S.–Iran negotiations, contradicting Trump’s earlier comment that talks would resume Monday afternoon. Baghaei added that Iran’s only current discussions are with Oman concerning the Strait of Hormuz.

The conflicting statements have heightened uncertainty over the peace‑talk process and the broader conflict, now in its sixth month.

Trump’s assertion about new negotiations came a day after he said on Truth Social that he had agreed to cancel a massive strike against Iran “subject to being able to rapidly make a DEAL.” He said in the same post that Iran and other Middle Eastern countries had asked him to hold off on that attack because “the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”

Trump has claimed dozens of times throughout the more‑than‑five‑month‑long war that a deal is at hand. No permanent deal has been signed, and a temporary ceasefire reached in June has fallen apart.

Trump has also repeatedly threatened to launch devastating strikes against Iran before backing off. After the latest example, oil prices on Monday fell and stocks surged.

BMI, a research unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a note Monday that a broader diplomatic understanding on reopening the Strait of Hormuz is still achievable this quarter, while raising the probability of its escalation scenario to 35% from 25%, citing mounting military, diplomatic and economic signs of rising U.S.-Iran tensions.

“Diplomatic progress is likely to be punctuated by periodic military flare-ups, while miscalculation by either side could trigger a renewed escalation,” BMI analysts wrote in a note. The firm said the key issue to watch is the future governance of the strait, as the Iran-Oman talks — potentially backed by Gulf states, China and the U.S. — point to efforts to build a post-conflict shipping framework.

Shipping risks persist even as diplomacy appears to be advancing. The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre said it received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles (23 miles) northeast of Khasab, Oman — at the mouth of the strait — with a tanker’s master reporting an explosion in close proximity to the vessel at about 20:37 UTC Sunday (4:37 pm ET). The vessel and crew were safe and authorities are investigating, UKMTO said, advising ships to transit with caution.

The proposal Trump announced over the weekend calls for the U.S. and Iran to return to negotiations and continue ironing out some of the thorny issues that had derailed diplomatic efforts, according to The Associated Press, citing a regional official involved in the mediation efforts.

The official said the proposal also includes a reopening of the Hormuz Strait and halting attacks across the region, including by Iranian-backed militias in Iraq on the Arab Gulf countries and Jordan.

The U.S., for its part, will end its naval blockade on Iran and allow Tehran to export its oil, the official said, adding that no deal has been reached, although the mediation efforts remained underway.

Trump’s weekend reversal has lowered the temperature after days of escalating attacks across the Gulf. Kuwait said Saturday that Iranian forces launched a wave of drones within its airspace, with its military destroying multiple aircraft after Iran targeted critical infrastructure in the country’s north.

A parallel track with Muscat is also advancing. Iranian diplomats said Tehran was close to reaching a new arrangement with Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a deal critical to preventing the war from escalating further, according to the Financial Times.

Iranian officials said negotiations over future management of the Hormuz Strait with Oman, which sits on the opposite shore of the waterway, are in their final stages. The agreed shipping route would be different from those used before, according to Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Baghaei, adding that the new route was separate from the issue of the strait’s reopening or continued closure.

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Technologies

Oil Prices Slide as Trump Halts Planned Iran Strike

Oil prices dropped after Trump cancelled a planned strike on Iran, with WTI down about 5% and Brent near 5% lower. He said the move followed requests from Tehran and regional allies for a pause while a deal shaping the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s nuclear program is negotiated.

Oil prices fell on Monday after President Donald Trump announced he had cancelled a planned strike on Iran. WTI futures dropped roughly 5% to $80.34 a barrel, while Brent slipped about 4.7% to $83.77 a barrel.

Trump said early Sunday he called off the strike after Iran and several Middle Eastern nations asked him to hold off, noting that the outlines of a deal had been agreed upon. He added that the prospective accord would entail the immediate, full opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to Iran’s nuclear ambitions, according to his Truth Social post.

The president had been considering another round of strikes as diplomatic hopes waned since the conflict began on February 28. He said the U.S. and Iran would meet for talks on Monday, but Iran denied any scheduled negotiations with Washington, citing PressTV. Iran’s foreign‑ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei clarified that Tehran was only discussing shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz with Oman. In a follow‑up Truth Social message, Trump insisted that, regardless of Iran’s acknowledgment, the United States is indeed discussing a solution to a long‑standing problem created by Iran.

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Technologies

Oil Prices Drop as Trump Cancels Planned Attack on Iran

Oil prices fell sharply after President Trump announced the cancellation of a planned strike on Iran, citing a new deal that would open the Hormuz Strait and end Iran’s nuclear threat.

Oil prices fell sharply on Monday after President Donald Trump announced that he had called off a planned strike on Iran.

West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. benchmark, slipped roughly 5% to close at $80.34 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international benchmark, declined 4.7% to settle at $83.77 a barrel.

Trump made the announcement early Sunday, saying he had canceled the strike following requests from Tehran and other Middle Eastern countries.

In a Truth Social post, he wrote: “We have just been asked by Iran, and other Middle Eastern Countries, to hold off any attack in that the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”

The president indicated that the proposed agreement would include the immediate, complete, and total opening of the Hormuz Strait, as well as an end to Iran’s nuclear threat.

Trump had been weighing additional strikes amid diminishing prospects for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict that began on Feb. 28. He stated that the U.S. and Iran would hold negotiations on Monday.

Tehran denied that talks were planned with Washington, according to state news outlet PressTV.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Tehran was only holding talks with Oman regarding the routes ships can use through the Strait of Hormuz.

In a subsequent Truth Social post, Trump added that whether “Iran wants to admit it or not, we are, in fact, talking of a solution to a problem that they have caused for decades.”

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