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Verum: Apple Reports a Flawless Quarter Ahead of Leadership Change and AI Launch

Apple reported a record-breaking fiscal Q2 with revenue up 17% and earnings beating estimates, setting a strong foundation for incoming CEO Jon Ternus and upcoming AI initiatives.

<p>Apple has concluded a busy week of earnings reports from mega-cap companies by delivering a robust quarter on Thursday evening. CEO Tim Cook’s strategic decision to reveal his impending departure before the financial results were released ensured that the company’s stellar performance would not be overshadowed. For the fiscal 2026 second quarter, which ended on March 31, Apple’s revenue surged 17% to $111.2 billion, significantly surpassing the $109.7 billion consensus forecast according to LSEG. Earnings per share also climbed 22% to $2.01, beating estimates of $1.95. AAPL 1Y mountain Apple 1 year performance This quarter marks the best March performance in the company’s history, driving Apple’s stock up 4% in after-hours trading to approximately $282. If the stock closes at that level on Friday, it will be just below its record high set in December. Bottom line Although Cook will stay on for a short while longer, it is evident that incoming CEO Jon Ternus is stepping into a powerful position. Sales exceeded expectations across all product lines and the highly lucrative services segment, which saw accelerated sequential growth. Even more impressively, earnings growth outstripped revenue growth as Apple expanded profit margins for both products and services beyond street expectations. Apple once again set a new all-time high for its installed base of active devices, surpassing 2.5 billion across all categories and regions. This is vital because, while details on Apple’s Siri AI initiative are still pending, Cook confirmed on the earnings call that a “more personalized Siri” is indeed coming this year. The opportunity for Apple to fully enter the generative and agentic AI arena remains as strong as ever. Apple has partnered with Google for its AI efforts, and Cook noted, “We’re happy with the work that we’re doing independently as well.” While Services significantly boosts earnings thanks to a gross margin nearly double that of the products segment, the active device installed base is the gateway for these high-margin services. A larger base means a larger total addressable market for Apple’s lucrative offerings. Additionally, the board approved a new $100 billion share repurchase program and a 4% increase to the cash dividend. Notably, CFO Kevan Parekh stated on the call, “We plan to continue our capital allocation philosophy of first making all the necessary investments needed to support the business and then returning excess cash to shareholders over time. Net cash neutral has been a valuable framework for our capital structure. Since 2018, we have significantly rightsized our balance sheet and reduced net cash by over $100 billion. As we move ahead, we are no longer providing net cash neutral as a formal target, and we will independently evaluate cash and debt.” We do not anticipate this to be an issue, as management still views buybacks as a key driver of shareholder value. Why we own it Apple’s dominant hardware and high-margin services create a deep competitive moat and ample bundling opportunities. Competitors: Samsung, Xiaomi, OPPO, Dell , and HP Inc. Most recent buy : April 8, 2014 Initiation : Dec. 2, 2013 These results reinforce why you shouldn’t try to trade around a consistently top-tier name like Apple. You hold it for the long term. Despite concerns over tariffs, energy costs, and rising memory expenses—which likely impact Apple’s profit margins the most—the team navigated these challenges excellently. While memory prices will remain a headwind in future quarters, we are confident management will continue to handle the environment effectively. We believe the stock’s recovery from the Iran war March low is now justified. With an AI update expected later this year, the groundwork is set for shares to hit new highs. We are reiterating our $300 price target and hold-equivalent 2 rating . CEO Transition Explaining his decision to announce his departure now, Cook cited several reasons. “First, our business has been performing extremely well. The first half of this year was very strong, growing double digits year over year. Second, our roadmap is incredible. Most importantly, we have the right leader ready to step into the role. As l have said, there is no one on this planet I trust more to lead Apple into the future than John Ternus.” Cook added, “John is a brilliant engineer, a deep thinker, a person of remarkable character, and a born leader. I know he will push us to go further than we think is possible in order to deliver the greatest products and services for our users. I have been so proud to call him a colleague and a friend, and I will be even more proud to call him Apple CEO. Over the coming months, John and I will be working closely together to make sure this transition is perfectly smooth.” Cook will transition to executive chairman on Sept. 1. Ternus also joined the call, saying, “It means a great deal to me to have Tim’s trust and confidence. … As you know, one of the hallmarks of Tim’s tenure has been a deep thoughtfulness, deliberateness, and discipline when it comes to the financial decision making of the company. I want you to know that as something Kevin [Parekh] and I intend to continue.” Ternus continued, “When I transition into the [CEO] role in September, this is an especially exciting moment for Apple. As Tim mentioned, we have an incredible roadmap ahead. While you are not going to get me to talk about the details of that roadmap, suffice it to say this is the most exciting time in my 25-year career at Apple to be building products and services.” Quarter commentary Products revenue rose 16.7% year over year to $80.21 billion in fiscal Q2, beating the $78.21 billion estimate. Similar to the previous quarter, hardware strength was driven by robust iPhone demand, with sales growing nearly 22% to $56.99 billion, surpassing street expectations and setting a March quarter record. On the call, Cook stated the iPhone 17 lineup is the most popular in company history. Some data provider estimates have suggested iPhone results might have missed, but based on FactSet estimates, it was a beat. More importantly, iPhone sales growth was impressive, especially considering Cook mentioned on the conference call that the flagship product faced supply constraints. This iPhone growth accompanied year-over-year sales increases across all other product categories, from Mac to iPad to Wearables, Home & Accessories. All product lines exceeded expectations. The 5.7% increase in Mac sales included the debut of the MacBook Neo in the March quarter. Neo is a lower-cost laptop designed to capture share from Windows-based laptops and Chromebooks. Product gross margin was also a highlight, rising 276 basis points, or 2.76 percentage points, to 38.7%, beating the 36.6% estimate. Services revenue, which reached an all-time high, saw growth accelerate slightly from about 14% in fiscal Q1 to just over 16% in fiscal Q2, resulting in a $600 million beat versus expectations. Services revenue encompasses Apple TV, advertising, cloud services, music, payment services, and App Store sales. Service gross margins expanded 93 basis points, nearly 1 percentage point, to 76.7%, edging out the 76.3% estimate. Outlook Apple’s revenue outlook for the current June quarter (fiscal 2026 third quarter) surpassed the consensus view. June quarter revenue is projected to increase by 14% to 17% versus the prior year, a much stronger forecast compared to estimates for about 9% growth. To quantify this, Apple’s growth guidance implies revenue between $107.2 billion and $110.02 billion. For comparison, the LSEG consensus stands at $102.93 billion. Services revenue is expected to grow in the June quarter at a similar pace to the just-reported quarter, minus the impact of foreign exchange dynamics, which contributed just over 2.5 percentage points of growth in the March quarter. Companywide gross margin for the June quarter is expected to be between 47.5% and 48.5%, exceeding FactSet’s midpoint estimate of 47.6%. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long AAPL. See here for a full list of the stocks.) 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Technologies

Trump Maintains US‑Iran Negotiations Continue Amid Tehran’s Denials of Duplicity

President Trump insists that US‑Iran talks are ongoing despite Tehran’s denial of any negotiation plans, while warning that only a deal or total surrender will allow passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Conflicting statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty as the conflict enters its sixth month.

On Monday, President Donald Trump asserted that negotiations between the United States and Iran are still taking place, even after Tehran stated it has no intention of engaging in direct talks with Washington.

In a fiery Truth Social post, Trump labeled Iran’s leaders “unbelievably duplicitous,” claiming they are lying about ongoing peace talks “whether Iran wants to admit it or not.” He repeated his assertion that the United States completely controls the Strait of Hormuz, despite maritime traffic through the crucial route lingering at only a small fraction of pre‑conflict levels.

He wrote, “Nothing reaches Iran unless we allow it, and nothing will pass unless a deal—or total surrender—is achieved.”

Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei told reporters there is no imminent plan for U.S.–Iran negotiations, contradicting Trump’s earlier comment that talks would resume Monday afternoon. Baghaei added that Iran’s only current discussions are with Oman concerning the Strait of Hormuz.

The conflicting statements have heightened uncertainty over the peace‑talk process and the broader conflict, now in its sixth month.

Trump’s assertion about new negotiations came a day after he said on Truth Social that he had agreed to cancel a massive strike against Iran “subject to being able to rapidly make a DEAL.” He said in the same post that Iran and other Middle Eastern countries had asked him to hold off on that attack because “the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”

Trump has claimed dozens of times throughout the more‑than‑five‑month‑long war that a deal is at hand. No permanent deal has been signed, and a temporary ceasefire reached in June has fallen apart.

Trump has also repeatedly threatened to launch devastating strikes against Iran before backing off. After the latest example, oil prices on Monday fell and stocks surged.

BMI, a research unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a note Monday that a broader diplomatic understanding on reopening the Strait of Hormuz is still achievable this quarter, while raising the probability of its escalation scenario to 35% from 25%, citing mounting military, diplomatic and economic signs of rising U.S.-Iran tensions.

“Diplomatic progress is likely to be punctuated by periodic military flare-ups, while miscalculation by either side could trigger a renewed escalation,” BMI analysts wrote in a note. The firm said the key issue to watch is the future governance of the strait, as the Iran-Oman talks — potentially backed by Gulf states, China and the U.S. — point to efforts to build a post-conflict shipping framework.

Shipping risks persist even as diplomacy appears to be advancing. The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre said it received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles (23 miles) northeast of Khasab, Oman — at the mouth of the strait — with a tanker’s master reporting an explosion in close proximity to the vessel at about 20:37 UTC Sunday (4:37 pm ET). The vessel and crew were safe and authorities are investigating, UKMTO said, advising ships to transit with caution.

The proposal Trump announced over the weekend calls for the U.S. and Iran to return to negotiations and continue ironing out some of the thorny issues that had derailed diplomatic efforts, according to The Associated Press, citing a regional official involved in the mediation efforts.

The official said the proposal also includes a reopening of the Hormuz Strait and halting attacks across the region, including by Iranian-backed militias in Iraq on the Arab Gulf countries and Jordan.

The U.S., for its part, will end its naval blockade on Iran and allow Tehran to export its oil, the official said, adding that no deal has been reached, although the mediation efforts remained underway.

Trump’s weekend reversal has lowered the temperature after days of escalating attacks across the Gulf. Kuwait said Saturday that Iranian forces launched a wave of drones within its airspace, with its military destroying multiple aircraft after Iran targeted critical infrastructure in the country’s north.

A parallel track with Muscat is also advancing. Iranian diplomats said Tehran was close to reaching a new arrangement with Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a deal critical to preventing the war from escalating further, according to the Financial Times.

Iranian officials said negotiations over future management of the Hormuz Strait with Oman, which sits on the opposite shore of the waterway, are in their final stages. The agreed shipping route would be different from those used before, according to Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Baghaei, adding that the new route was separate from the issue of the strait’s reopening or continued closure.

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Technologies

Oil Prices Slide as Trump Halts Planned Iran Strike

Oil prices dropped after Trump cancelled a planned strike on Iran, with WTI down about 5% and Brent near 5% lower. He said the move followed requests from Tehran and regional allies for a pause while a deal shaping the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s nuclear program is negotiated.

Oil prices fell on Monday after President Donald Trump announced he had cancelled a planned strike on Iran. WTI futures dropped roughly 5% to $80.34 a barrel, while Brent slipped about 4.7% to $83.77 a barrel.

Trump said early Sunday he called off the strike after Iran and several Middle Eastern nations asked him to hold off, noting that the outlines of a deal had been agreed upon. He added that the prospective accord would entail the immediate, full opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to Iran’s nuclear ambitions, according to his Truth Social post.

The president had been considering another round of strikes as diplomatic hopes waned since the conflict began on February 28. He said the U.S. and Iran would meet for talks on Monday, but Iran denied any scheduled negotiations with Washington, citing PressTV. Iran’s foreign‑ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei clarified that Tehran was only discussing shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz with Oman. In a follow‑up Truth Social message, Trump insisted that, regardless of Iran’s acknowledgment, the United States is indeed discussing a solution to a long‑standing problem created by Iran.

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Technologies

Oil Prices Drop as Trump Cancels Planned Attack on Iran

Oil prices fell sharply after President Trump announced the cancellation of a planned strike on Iran, citing a new deal that would open the Hormuz Strait and end Iran’s nuclear threat.

Oil prices fell sharply on Monday after President Donald Trump announced that he had called off a planned strike on Iran.

West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. benchmark, slipped roughly 5% to close at $80.34 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international benchmark, declined 4.7% to settle at $83.77 a barrel.

Trump made the announcement early Sunday, saying he had canceled the strike following requests from Tehran and other Middle Eastern countries.

In a Truth Social post, he wrote: “We have just been asked by Iran, and other Middle Eastern Countries, to hold off any attack in that the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”

The president indicated that the proposed agreement would include the immediate, complete, and total opening of the Hormuz Strait, as well as an end to Iran’s nuclear threat.

Trump had been weighing additional strikes amid diminishing prospects for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict that began on Feb. 28. He stated that the U.S. and Iran would hold negotiations on Monday.

Tehran denied that talks were planned with Washington, according to state news outlet PressTV.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Tehran was only holding talks with Oman regarding the routes ships can use through the Strait of Hormuz.

In a subsequent Truth Social post, Trump added that whether “Iran wants to admit it or not, we are, in fact, talking of a solution to a problem that they have caused for decades.”

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