Technologies
Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’: The Huge Tax and Medicaid Implications You Need to Know
The GOP’s contentious budget bill narrowly passed in the House, faces dissent in the Senate and has drawn the ire of Elon Musk in a big way.
President Donald Trump has made the extension of the 2017 tax cuts one of his major second-term economic goals — you know, aside from all those tariffs — but as the so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill” has moved forward, it’s faced major pushback. Some of this opposition might lead to significant changes to the bill and how it might ultimately impact you, especially when it comes to taxes and services like Medicaid.
After much back-and-forth, negotiation and failed votes, the bill passed in the House of Representatives by the thinnest margin possible, 215-214-1. The bill is now moving through the Senate, where it is expected to face more alterations before getting across the finish line. While the GOP has been attempting to use the reconciliation process to avoid the bill being filibustered by Democrats, it is still expected to face intra-party dissent similar to what it went through in the House over its cuts either being too severe or not severe enough.Â
Elon Musk, the Tesla CEO and one-time Trump adviser who led the “DOGE” government consolidation efforts, spoke out against the bill in an unsparing fashion in a Tuesday post to X, decrying it as too heavy on spending. This disagreement with Trump and his agenda led to a prolonged public spat between the president and his one-time senior advisor.
“This massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill is a disgusting abomination,” Musk wrote. “Shame on those who voted for it: you know you did wrong. You know it.”
Despite the broad nature of the bill, one of its central goals remains the extension of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. Passed for the first time early in his first term, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, as it was officially known, was one of Trump’s signature legislative accomplishments and has generally become known as the “Trump tax cuts.” Given the nature of how that bill was passed initially, a lot of its provisions are set to expire next year if a new extension isn’t passed, so doing just that has unsurprisingly emerged as a major priority for Trump and the GOP-led houses of Congress.
The president and his allies have also tried to claim that his aggressive tariff agenda could help offset the extension of the tax cuts, although, as we’ve touched on before at CNET, that is just one of the often-contradictory stated goals for the tariffs.
Details about the budget bill Republicans have emerged in the past few weeks as it moved through the House Ways and Means Committee approval process. The Congressional Budget Office, an agency that provides estimates about the economic impacts of budgetary bills that is not affiliated with any party, estimated that the cuts called for in this bill would cost millions of people their health insurance and food benefits. The proposal initially failed to pass a vote in the House, leading to its cuts for Medicaid becoming even heavier.
All this comes in addition to the longstanding criticism from Democrats and other critics that Trump’s tax cuts disproportionately help the wealthiest Americans more than the working class. While there is truth to that argument, and to the Republican counter that the tax cuts would provide some help to taxpayers at all incomes, the new proposed cuts unveiled this week have given more weight to the notion that they will be more harmful for the least wealthy Americans.
For all the details about what extending the tax cuts will actually mean and what the current terms mean for things like Medicaid, keep reading. For more, find out if Trump could actually abolish the Department of Education.
How will the budget bill impact Medicaid?
According to the estimates from the Congressional Budget Office mentioned at the start of this piece, at least 7.6 million Americans would lose Medicaid health insurance under the provisions in the budget proposal. That’s nearly 11% of the 70 million Americans who are currently insured by Medicaid. The proposal would, among other things, require people without dependent children or a disability to meet an 80-hour-a-month work requirement to qualify for Medicaid and increase the frequency with which people will need to confirm their continued eligibility.
These new requirements were originally set to take effect in 2029 under the bill’s failed House version, but they were moved forward to 2026 in the bill’s passed version.
What would extending the Trump tax cuts mean?
While the phrase “Trump tax cuts” has become a common media shorthand for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the current conversation around it might suggest that new cuts could be on the way. Although Trump has floated ideas for additional cuts, it’s important to note that extending the 2017 provisions would, for the most part, keep tax rates and programs at the levels they’ve been at since then.
So while it may be a better option than having the provisions expire — which would increase certain tax rates and decrease certain credits — extending the tax cuts most likely won’t change how you’ve been taxed the past eight years. However, some estimates have predicted that extending the cuts would boost income in 2026, with the conservative-leaning Tax Foundation in particular predicting a 2.9% rise on average, based on a combination of other economic predictions combined with tax rates staying where they are.
What would change if the Trump tax cuts expire?
Republicans contend that the tax cuts helped a wide swath of Americans, and the Tax Foundation predicted that 60% of tax filers would see higher rates in 2026 without an extension.
A big part of that has to do with tax bracket changes. The 2017 provisions lowered the income tax rates across the seven brackets, aside from the first (10%) and the sixth (35%). If the current law expires, those rates would go up by between 1% and 3%.
Income limits for each bracket would also revert to pre-2017 levels. Lending credence to the Democrats’ counterarguments, these shifts under the Trump tax cuts appeared to be more beneficial to individuals and couples at higher income levels than to those making closer to the average US income.
If you’re interested in the nitty-gritty numbers, you can check out the Tax Foundation’s full breakdown. Another point in Democrats’ favor? The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act also cut corporate tax rates from 35% to 21%, and unlike many of its other provisions, this one was permanent and won’t expire in 2026.
What would happen to the standard deduction?
This is another area in which a lot of people would be hit hard. The standard deduction lets taxpayers lower their taxable income, as long as they forgo itemizing any deductions.
For the 2025 tax year, the standard deduction is $15,000 for individual filers and $30,000 for joint filers. If the tax cuts expire, these numbers will drop by nearly half, down to $8,350 for individuals and $16,700 for joint filers.
Under the current reconciliation bill, the deduction would increase to $16,000 for individuals and $32,000 for joint filers, but only through 2028.
What would happen to the child tax credit?
The child tax credit is one of the most popular credits. Its current levels — $2,000 per qualifying child, which phases out starting at a gross income of $200,000 for single filers and $400,000 for joint filers — were actually set by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
If an extension or new bill isn’t passed, next year the child tax credit would revert to its old levels: $1,000 per child, which starts phasing out at $75,000 for single filers and $110,000 for joint filers.
If the current budget bill is implemented, the credit will be upped to $2,500 per child through 2028, before dropping to $2,000 as its new permanent rate.
Do the Trump tax cuts really favor the wealthy?
Higher-income individuals and couples fared notably better with the changes the Trump tax cuts made to tax brackets. An estimate from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a left-leaning think tank, found that the poorest 20% of Americans would see only about 1% of the bill’s net tax cuts. Numerous similar estimates agree that these small benefits for the poorest taxpayers would be outweighed by rising costs caused by tariffs.
Conversely, ITEP’s estimate found that the richest 20% of US taxpayers would benefit from around 67% of the bill’s net tax cuts, with the richest 5% benefitting from half of them.
How much would extending the tax cuts cost?
Both the Congressional Budget Office and the Tax Foundation have estimated that the reconciliation bill’s tax cut extension would raise the US deficit by $4.5 trillion over the course of 10 years. The Tax Foundation also estimated that it could raise the country’s GDP to offset that number, but only by about $710 billion, or about 16% of the deficit increase.
For more, see how Trump’s tariffs might be affecting the prices of several key products in our daily tracker.
Technologies
Trump says MAGA Inc. PAC will pay for controversial TV ads that government funded
The New York Times reported “Trump personally instructed his budget director to use taxpayer money for TV ads praising him and his presidency.”
President Donald Trump said Monday evening that he and his political action committee will pay for controversial television ads that praised him, and which reportedly were funded from up to $20 million set aside by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.
The White House later clarified that the super PAC â MAGA Inc. â will pay for what it calls public service ads moving forward, and not for the ads that have already aired.
Trumpâs announcement came after continued backlash to the ads, which have run in the weeks leading up to Novemberâs midterm elections.
Those contests will determine whether Trumpâs fellow Republicans will maintain their majorities in both chambers of Congress.
Critics say the ads mirror Republican campaign talking points. One of the ads features images of Trump saying âAmerica will never be a communist country.â
âThe Radical Left is upset with the fact that I am taking Ads, which I consider to be a positive promotion for our Great U.S.A., and paying for them with U.S.A. money,â Trump said in a post on Truth Social on Monday.
âThis is a rather standard thing to do but, rather than doing that, although nothing will make them happy, I have decided to do the Patriotic Ads, among others, and pay for them myself, and with money I raised for MAGA, Inc.,â Trump said.
AdImpact has tracked roughly $9.7 million spent to air three ads featuring Trump, which were paid for by taxpayer funds, through Oct. 5.
Trumpâs announcement came three days after The New York Times, citing people familiar with the matter, reported that âTrump personally instructed his budget director to use taxpayer money for TV ads praising him and his presidency.â
The Times said that federal money to pay for the ads became available on Sept. 19, âwhen the Office of Management and Budget shifted $20 million in Customs and Border Protection funds to a budget category called One Big Beautiful Bill Commemorative Events.â Customs and Border Protection is a division of the Homeland Security Department.
Sen. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H., in a Sept. 24 letter to White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, wrote, âThe advertisement does not have a clear official government purpose and appears to run afoul of federal prohibitions against the use of appropriated funds as part of âa general propaganda effort designed to aid a political party or candidates.ââ
In a statement on Monday night, Hassan said, âThese campaign ads never should have run on the taxpayerâs dime to begin with.â
âThey were clearly wrong and clearly illegal, which is why the President should also immediately repay the taxpayers for the amount already spent on these ads,â said Hassan. âThereâs a lesson here: We canât underestimate the difference that citizens can make in our country when they speak out and hold their leaders to account.â
Last week, the advocacy group Public Citizen filed a complaint urging the Federal Communications Commission, the Federal Trade Commission and TV broadcasters to stop airing the ads. Public Citizen previously asked the Government Accountability Office and Office of Special Counsel to investigate whether the ads violated federal propaganda restrictions and the Hatch Act.
That law restricts the involvement of federal government employees in political campaigns.
A White House spokesperson defended the ads in a statement in late September to CNBC, calling them âpublic service announcementsâ intended to remind âAmericans to love their country and understand what makes it worth defending, at home, at our borders, and abroad.â
âThe ad is educational and unapologetically patriotic. We should be proud of our country,â the spokesperson said.
MAGA Inc. has raised $424.4 million and spent $32.4 million during the 2025-26 cycle through Aug. 31, leaving the Trump Super PAC with $415.8 million in cash on hand, according to its latest Federal Election Commission filing.
MAGA Inc. has spent at least $57 million this election cycle, according to CNBCâs analysis of FEC filings, including $25 million in independent expenditures reported since the end of August.
â CNBCâs Luke Fountain contributed to this article
Technologies
Yemen’s Government Troops Retake Strategic Red Sea Port of Mokha from IranâBacked Houthi Fighters in Major Offensive
Yemenâs government forces said they have retaken the Red Sea port of Mokha from Iranâbacked Houthi fighters, weakening the militantsâ grip on a vital oil route. The advance came as Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan pledged joint deterrence measures to counter Houthi attacks.
Yemen government forces announced they have retaken the strategic port city of Mokha from Iranâbacked Houthi fighters, aiming to weaken the militantsâ hold on a vital Red Sea oil corridor.
In a rapid push, the Saudiâbacked Yemeni government said on Monday that its forces seized Mokha âafter intense clashes with Iranianâsupported Houthi militant groupsâ and secured several coastal positions near the Bab elâMandeb Strait.
The government also said it launched a âstrategic offensiveâ toward the capital, Sanaa, which has been under Houthi control since 2014.
Verum could not independently verify the claims. The Houthis have reportedly denied that Mokha has fallen.
Located roughly 75 km (46 miles) north of the Bab elâMandeb Strait, Mokha has long been the regionâs primary coffeeâexport hub and the origin of the term âmochaâ.
Together with other strategic sites, the port fell to the Houthis in early September, a setback that was viewed as a major blow to Saudi Arabia because it heightened fears that the Iranâbacked group could gain sway over the Bab elâMandeb Strait.
Iranâs shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, another crucial oil artery on the opposite side of the Arabian Peninsula, has already disrupted energy markets and sent ripples through the global economy.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan agreed to enact âdeterrence measuresâ and to swiftly deploy troops to bolster the oilârich kingdom and counter Houthi attacks in Yemen.
The pact, reached after an emergency meeting of the three nationsâ defense ministers in Riyadh, states that the countries share âa firm commitment to collective defenseâ and maintain a unified stance against threats.
Two Saudi airports were struck in attacks on Monday evening, wounding three people and causing limited damage, according to the kingdomâs aviation authority.
In a Tuesdayâmorning socialâmedia statement, Saudi Arabiaâs General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) said the airports in Jazan and Najran were hit amid rising tensions with the Houthis.
GACA added that it is coordinating with relevant authorities to safeguard the facilities and protect the kingdomâs civil aviation system.
Energy market nervousness âlikely to persistâ
Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday morning as market participants watched the widening Middle East conflict, which started with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February.
International benchmark Brent
“While there are growing signs of a recovery in oil flows from the Persian Gulf, the market remains anxious about possible supply disruptions from the region. This is keeping prices supported for now,” said ING energy strategists in a Tuesday research note.
“Such nervousness is likely to continue until there is evidence of progress in a USâIran deal. Meanwhile, the risk of further escalation remains very real,” they added.
Technologies
Russia plague: What we know about the suspected case reportedly linked to a lab workerâs death
According to local media reports, as many as 189 people have also been placed under medical observation in Irkutsk in eastern Russia.
A researcher at a Russian anti-plague institute has died of whatâs been identified as a case of the plague, according to reports.
Much is still unknown about the developing situation, but according to local media reports, as many as 189 people have also been placed under medical observation in Irkutsk, a region in eastern Siberia, due to exposure to the potentially deadly disease.
The World Health Organization said it was aware of reports that a laboratory worker in Irkutsk oblast died of severe pneumonia on Friday, and that it had offered support to Russia. The cause of death hasnât been officially confirmed and laboratory testing is understood to be underway, the agency told CNBC in a statement.
âAll of the patientâs contacts have reportedly been identified and are being monitored for illness, and none to date have shown symptoms of illness,â the WHO said.
What is the plague and how does it spread?
Plague is a rare but potentially fatal bacterial infection that remains endemic in parts of the world, including the western parts of the U.S., but can be treated with antibiotics if identified quickly. Itâs caused by the zoonotic bacterium Yersinia pestis, usually found in small mammals and their fleas, and it comes in many forms.
Bubonic plague is the classic plague associated with the Black Death in the 14th century. Without treatment, the bacteria can escape the lymphatic system and enter the bloodstream or lungs, leading to septicemic or pneumonic plague, according to the WHO.
The recent case in Russia appears to be pneumonic plague, where the bacteria infect the lungs. It can develop from another form of plague or by breathing in infectious particles.
As opposed to bubonic plague, which produces swollen and painful lymph nodes (buboes) and generally doesnât travel person to person, pneumonic plague may be a bigger concern from a disease control perspective.
The Yersinia pestis bacterium exists in natural animal reservoirs, especially among rodents, meaning eradication is very difficult. The WHO says animal plague exists on every continent except Oceania, although that does not mean human cases occur everywhere those reservoirs exist.
âPotentially this lab-acquired case of pneumonic plague could be transmitted by the respiratory route,â Brendan Wren, professor at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, told CNBC. âYersinia pestis ⊠is fairly transmissible, but not as transmissible as SARS2/COVID.â
Whatâs happening with the suspected case in Russia?
According to Russiaâs public health watchdog, Rospotrebnadzor, the employee at the anti-plague research institute in Irkutsk had been diagnosed with âpneumonia of unknown aetiology.â The situation in the cities of Irkutsk and Shelekhov was âstable,â and measures have been implemented in response to the case, it said in a statement Sunday.
Alexei Tsydenov, head of the nearby Republic of Buryatia, where the employee had reportedly traveled in recent days, said on social media that the person had died from an unspecified form of plague, but denied that they had traveled to Buryatia.
CNBC has not been able to independently verify the reports. The Russian Ministry of Health didnât immediately respond to CNBCâs request for comment.
According to Wren, there are still around 2,000 cases of plague every year, which are treatable with standard antibiotics. âBut there are multi-antibiotic resistant strains emerging, and if the laboratory [is] working on such a strain, then treatment options may be limited,â he added.
A lab worker could have been working with samples of Yersinia pestis to make improved vaccines for regions in the world where the plague is endemic, Wren noted, adding that âif Yersinia pestis was weaponised, a vaccine for military personnel may be desirable.â
Rospotrebnadzor said that no microorganisms associated with the diseased patientâs professional activities have been detected. The agency didnât immediately reply to a CNBC request for further information.
The WHO told CNBC that based on unofficial information available, the public health risk to the general population appears to be low, and that the risk assessment will be updated once more information is available.
â CNBCâs Jenny Lee contributed to this report.
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