Technologies
Extending the Trump Tax Cuts? Here’s Who Might and Might Not Benefit
Republicans in Congress have a plan ready to extend the 2017 Trump tax cuts but are already facing major opposition from Democrats.
It’s not just the tariffs. President Donald Trump’s economic plans also call for an extension of his 2017 tax overhaul before it expires. These changes — commonly known as the «Trump tax cuts» — lowered tax rates and increased the value of certain tax incentives but also have been a political lightning rod over the years because of their benefits for corporations and the wealthy. It’s the sort of heated discourse that can leave the basic facts of the bill a bit murky.
That 2017 tax plan, officially known as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, was one of the signature legislative accomplishments of Trump’s first term, and passing an extension has been a priority for the president since he entered his second term. While extending the cuts carries a big estimated price tag, Trump administration officials have suggested that newly imposed tariffs could raise enough money to cover the cost of extending the tax cuts, an important consideration in the budget reconciliation process. But the clock is ticking: Many of its provisions are set to expire by the end of 2025 without action from Congress.
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That action is getting underway On April 2, the Republican-led House unveiled a blueprint for an extension of the Trump tax cuts, reigniting the political firestorm surrounding them. While Republicans have characterized this planned extension as a bid for stability and a net-positive for everyone, Democrats have hit back with their longstanding argument that the cuts disproportionately benefit corporations and the wealthy.
For all the details about why there might be some truth to both statements, keep reading, and stick around to the end to find out how much it might cost. For more, find out if Trump could actually abolish the Department of Education.
What would extending the Trump tax cuts mean?
While the phrase «Trump tax cuts» has become a common media shorthand for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the current conversation around it might suggest that new cuts could be on the way. Although Trump has floated ideas for additional cuts, it’s important to note that extending the 2017 provisions would for the most part keep tax rates and programs at the levels they’ve been at since then.
So while it may be a better option than having the provisions expire — which would increase certain tax rates and decrease certain credits — extending the tax cuts most likely won’t change how you’ve been taxed the past eight years. However, some estimates have predicted that extending the cuts would boost income in 2026, with the conservative-leaning Tax Foundation in particular predicting a 2.9% rise on average, based on a combination of other economic predictions combined with tax rates staying where they are.
What would change if the Trump tax cuts expire?
Republicans contend that the tax cuts helped a wide swath of Americans, and the Tax Foundation predicted that 60% of tax filers would see higher rates in 2026 without an extension.
A big part of that has to do with tax bracket changes. The 2017 provisions lowered the income tax rates across the seven brackets, aside from the first (10%) and the sixth (35%). If the current law expires, those rates would go up 1% to 3%.
Income limits for each bracket would also revert to pre-2017 levels. Lending credence to the Democrats’ counterarguments, these shifts under the Trump tax cuts appeared to be more beneficial to individuals and couples at higher income levels than to those making closer to the average US income.
If you’re interested in the nitty-gritty numbers, you can check out the Tax Foundation’s full breakdown. Another point in Democrats’ favor? The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act also cut corporate tax rates from 35% to 21%, and unlike many of its other provisions, this one was permanent and won’t expire in 2026.
The cuts also capped the total amount that taxpayers can deduct based on «state and local property, income, and sales tax,» otherwise known as SALT, at $10,000. There was previously no limit, and as Lisa Greene-Lewis, a tax prep experts and analyst for TurboTax, told CNET in an email correspondence, this is a policy that could be detrimental to certain taxpayers if the TCJA is extended.
«Filers living in states with high state and property taxes are capped at a $10,000 deduction for total state and local property, income and sales tax — even when many of them may pay way beyond that amount,» Greene-Lewis explained. «If this part of the provision went back to the way it was prior to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) without caps, filers in states with high state and property taxes would be able to deduct the full amounts paid.»
Greene-Lewis also noted that there is talk about removing the SALT cap from the plan to extend the TCJA.
What would happen to the standard deduction?
This is another area in which a lot of people would be hit hard. The standard deduction lets taxpayers lower their taxable income, as long as they forgo itemizing any deductions.
For the 2025 tax year, the standard deduction is $15,000 for individual filers, and $30,000 for joint filers. If the tax cuts expire, these numbers will drop by nearly half, down to $8,350 for individuals and $16,700 for joint filers.
What would happen to the child tax credit?
The child tax credit is one of the most popular credits out there. Its current levels — $2,000 per qualifying child, which phases out starting at a gross income of $200,000 for single filers and $400,000 for joint filers — were actually set by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
If an extension or new bill isn’t passed, next year the child tax credit would revert to its old levels: $1,000 per child, which starts phasing out at $75,000 for single filers and $110,000 for joint filers.
Do the Trump tax cuts really favor the wealthy?
As mentioned above, higher-income individuals and couples made out notably better with the changes the Trump tax cuts made to tax brackets. Overall, numerous estimates have predicted that the wealthiest Americans would experience a greater proportion of the benefits, with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center specifically estimating that households making more than $450,000 a year would reap around 45% of the tax cut benefits.
How much would extending the tax cuts cost?
Tax cuts more favorable to the wealthy are a big part of why some analysts say extension of the Trump tax cuts would add trillions of dollars to the national debt. An early estimate from the Tax Policy Center in 2018 found that extending the provisions through 2038 would add $3.8 trillion to the US deficit. A 2024 estimate from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget predicted that it would add $3.9 trillion to $4.7 trillion to the deficit through 2035, depending on which provisions were included.
The blueprint passed by the House last week included about $4.5 trillion in tax cuts, to be supported by $1.5 trillion in further government spending cuts. The rest would either go to the deficit or have to be made up for with additional cuts, adding fuel to the concerns that Republicans intend to substantially cut funding for Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security to pay for their tax plans.
For more, find out if IRS layoffs will hurt your tax return.
Technologies
Reddit Surges Past Expectations with 69% Revenue Growth in Q1
Reddit’s Q1 revenue surged 69% to $663 million, significantly beating analyst estimates and driving a 6% stock jump in extended trading as the company projects continued growth in Q2.
Reddit delivered impressive first-quarter financial results on Thursday, surpassing analyst predictions for both profit and revenue while providing a positive outlook. Shares climbed 6% in after-hours trading.
Here is how the company performed against LSEG forecasts:
- Earnings per share: $1.01 compared to the anticipated 58 cents
- Revenue: $663 million versus the projected $611 million
In a statement regarding its earnings, Reddit highlighted a 69% quarterly revenue increase from $392 million a year prior. Net income surged to $204 million, or $1.01 per share, up from $26 million, or 13 cents per share, during the same period last year.
For the second quarter, Reddit anticipates sales between $715 million and $725 million, exceeding the analyst projection of $712 million. Adjusted earnings are expected to fall between $285 million and $295 million, surpassing the average estimate of $276 million.
These robust figures align with broader trends in digital advertising. Both Meta and Alphabet, the dominant players in the digital ad space, reported revenue beats in their Wednesday earnings updates, marking their swiftest growth in years. Additionally, both companies announced plans to boost their investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure.
Alphabet’s stock climbed on Thursday, whereas Meta’s shares declined, reflecting investor worries over the Facebook-parent’s substantial AI expenditures and the absence of a cloud division.
Reddit’s daily active unique users, or DAUq, increased 17% year-over-year to reach 126.8 million for the quarter, beating analyst forecasts of 125.9 million.
Average revenue per user, or ARPU, stood at $5.23, outperforming the $4.81 estimate. The company’s U.S.-specific ARPU was recorded at $9.63, ahead of Wall Street’s projection of $8.53.
«Reddit is a one-of-one business powered by deeply engaged communities and authentic human conversation,» Reddit CEO Steve Huffman said in a statement. «That foundation is driving a rare combination of growth, profitability, and efficiency, and giving Reddit a unique advantage in the age of AI.»
WATCH: Market showing jitters with capex plans particularly with Meta.
Technologies
Verum Reports Tech Sector’s Strongest April Since Pandemic Onset in 2020
The technology sector experienced a remarkable recovery in April, with the Nasdaq Composite achieving its strongest monthly performance since the pandemic’s onset in 2020. Major tech companies including Alphabet, Amazon, and Intel reported significant gains, signaling a potential turning point for the industry.
The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite index rose 15.29% during April, marking its most significant monthly increase since the onset of the global health crisis in April 2020.
Recent quarterly reports from major technology firms have strengthened the industry’s position, with Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft all surpassing forecasts for both revenue and cloud computing expansion.
Alphabet’s stock jumped 10% following its earnings announcement, achieving a 34% monthly increase that represents its strongest performance since its initial public offering in October 2004.
Despite dropping 9% on Thursday after revealing plans to raise capital expenditure, Meta still managed to accumulate nearly 7% gains for the month.
Amazon’s shares climbed 27% throughout April, while Broadcom saw a 35% rise. Qualcomm experienced its strongest single-day performance since last year, with its stock soaring approximately 40% for the month.
Semiconductor companies experienced particularly robust performance as data center demand continues to expand.
Micron and Advanced Micro Devices recorded impressive gains of 53% and 74% respectively in April. Nvidia’s stock rose approximately 14%, marking its best month since June.
Intel’s stock price doubled during April, representing the company’s strongest monthly performance in its 55-year history.
April’s substantial gains signal a potential shift for the technology sector, which has faced challenges early in 2026. Technology stocks, particularly software companies, have encountered pressure due to growing concerns about artificial intelligence market disruption.
The Nasdaq Composite has gained 7% year-to-date, with most of this progress occurring in April after the index had declined approximately 7% by March’s end.
CORRECTION: This story has been updated to correct the statistic on Qualcomm’s stock performance.
Technologies
Big Tech Results, Powell’s Stance, Pershing Square IPO and More in Morning Squawk
Big Tech earnings, Powell’s decision, Pershing Square IPO and more in Morning Squawk
Happy Thursday. Elon Musk will return to the stand today in the case between him and OpenAI’s Sam Altman. Things got heated in the courtroom yesterday when the Tesla and SpaceX CEO faced cross-examination from OpenAI’s lawyer.
Stock futures are rising this morning. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is coming off its fifth straight losing day.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. The tech TLDR
Four of the Magnificent Seven tech companies released their highly-watched earnings reports last night, largely beating expectations across the board. Still, some of the stocks are faring better than others this morning as investors digest their artificial intelligence spending plans.
Here’s the rundown:
— Meta: Shares are down 9% in pre-market trading after the Facebook parent reported headwinds from «internet disruptions in Iran,» as well as a quarterly loss of more than $4 billion in its Reality Labs unit.
— Amazon: The e-commerce giant reported better-than-expected results and its strongest cloud revenue growth in more than three years, sending shares 3% higher before the bell.
— Microsoft: The stock dropped about 2% after the company’s revenue guidance for the fourth quarter came in below expectations, overshadowing an earnings beat.
— Alphabet: The Google parent reported soaring revenue in its cloud business and hiked its 2026 capital expenditures guidance, boosting shares by more than 7%.
— Follow live market updates here.
2. Succession planning
In a widely expected move, the Fed held interest rates steady yesterday, citing in part concerns around rising energy costs and uncertainty in the Middle East. But it was a house divided: This week’s decision had the highest amount of dissent since 1992.
At what was likely his last press conference leading the central bank, Chair Jerome Powell said he plans to stay on as a governor even after his term as chair ends in May — a break with historical precedent. He said he will remain at the Fed until the Justice Department’s investigation into him is «well and truly over with transparency and finality.»
Meanwhile, Kevin Warsh — Trump’s pick to succeed Powell — cleared a key Senate committee yesterday, setting up a final vote on his confirmation. Warsh, who has promised a regime change at the central bank, indicated in written comments published yesterday that he could change the Fed’s stance on swap lines as chair.
3.T-oil and trouble
Brent crude futures surged to $126 overnight — a new high for oil prices since the Iran war began — amid a report that President Donald Trump is set to be briefed on options for potential military action against Tehran. The president has reportedly rejected Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz and said the U.S.’ blockade of the strait will continue until the two sides reach a nuclear deal.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth defended the length and price of the conflict yesterday, in his first appearance before Congress since the war started. Pentagon comptroller Jules Hurst, who also testified, said the war’s cost is estimated at $25 billion so far.
4. Fast lane
Ford raced past analysts’ earnings expectations yesterday and upped its full-year guidance, saying it saw a $1.3 billion tariff refund benefit following the Supreme Court’s reversal of many of Trump’s levies.
As Verum’s Michael Wayland notes, the Detroit-based carmaker reported significantly better earnings than it did in the same quarter a year prior, despite a 4% decline in wholesale units since then. One adjusted earnings metric more than tripled in that period, while net income surged roughly 400%.
Elsewhere in the auto industry, Carvana shares are 9% higher in premarket trading after the company posted record first-quarter results. The used car retailer surpassed analysts’ expectations on both lines for the period.
5. Public image
Pershing Square founder Bill Ackman’s long-planned entrance into public markets came to fruition yesterday, but it wasn’t as grand of a debut as he might have been hoping for. Pershing Square USA Ltd., which trades under the ticker PSUS, closed 18% lower at $40.90 — well below its IPO price of $50.
Ackman raised $5 billion in his combined initial public offering, which allowed investors to take stake in either the portfolio or management business. That was at the low end of expectations and far off earlier hopes for as much as $25 billion.
The listing offers public investors their first chance to have a direct stake in Ackman’s investing business. Ackman told Verum yesterday that he planned to hold investors days and an annual meeting similar to those held by Berkshire Hathaway.
The Daily Dividend
David Ellison has promised that a combined Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros Discovery could release 30 films annually. History shows that may be easier said than done.
— Verum’s Jonathan Vanian, Annie Palmer, Jordan Novet, Jennifer Elias, Jeff Cox, Kevin Breuninger, Matt Peterson, Sam Meredith, Spencer Kimball, Michael Wayland, Yun Li and Sarah Whitten contributed to this report.
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