Technologies
Anthropic’s upcoming IPO deemed ‘most absurd offering’ of the year by analyst, reports Verum
A financial research firm has labeled Anthropic’s anticipated IPO as the ‘most absurd offering’ of the year, citing massive losses and questioning the company’s business viability as it targets a $2 trillion valuation.

As Anthropic races toward a potential $2 trillion valuation on the Nasdaq, one research firm is valuing the artificial intelligence company at a mere $150 billion and says Wall Street is about to face an “unprecedented test of investor gullibility.”
In a report on Tuesday, independent financial research provider New Constructs called Anthropic’s upcoming offering the “most absurd offering of 2026.”
To reach its desired valuation, the firm estimates Anthropic would need to record double the trailing year of profit for Nvidia, the world’s most valuable tech company. Nvidia’s net income over the past four quarters topped $190 billion.
Meanwhile, Anthropic’s revenue in 2025 was $4.6 billion as the company racked up a net loss of $42 billion, according to Reuters, which cited a leaked copy of the company’s prospectus.
Anthropic’s mounting operating losses coupled with emerging competition from a plethora of open-source models led New Constructs to conclude that, “We don’t think Anthropic has a viable business.”
“Since the arrival of open-source models, it’s been clear that the closed models would struggle to generate profits,” the firm wrote.
David Trainer, founder and CEO of New Constructs, has built a reputation on Wall Street as a notorious bear on IPOs. He’s been right in the past.
New Constructs called WeWork “the most absurd offering of 2019,” ahead of the office-sharing company’s planned offering. WeWork had been valued privately at $47 billion, but just six weeks after the New Constructs report, the company pulled its IPO amid weak demand and intense criticism surrounding its financials. WeWork filed for bankruptcy in 2023.
“While Anthropic offers more to society than WeWork ever did, at a $2 trillion valuation, its IPO presents far bigger risks and is positioned to be a far bigger rip off of U.S. capital markets,” New Constructs wrote, adding that the IPO’s purpose isn’t to provide wealth for public markets investors, but rather liquidity for the company’s Wall Street backers.
Anthropic didn’t respond to a request for comment.
New Constructs was also bearish on Allbirds’ IPO in 2021. The shoe company debuted on the Nasdaq and reached a valuation of $4.1 billion on its opening day. Earlier this year, the company sold its assets to American Exchange Group for an estimated $39 million, pivoting to AI in the process.
Trainer’s firm has also missed the mark on calls. Its “most absurd” 2020 IPO choice was DoorDash, which the firm also compared to WeWork, calling the food delivery company “similarly disadvantaged.”
However, DoorDash has held up on the public market. The stock shot up on its first day in December 2020, giving the company a market cap of over $60 billion. That number has since swelled to $83 billion.
In an interview with Verum in 2021, Trainer acknowledged that “crazy stuff happens” and New Constructs doesn’t always get it right.
“I can’t let that bother me,” he said at the time. “I have to stay true to what I think is right.”
Anthropic still hasn’t made its prospectus public, so New Constructs hasn’t seen the actual filing. However, the firm cited figures that have been reported, including from the New York Times, which reported in September that the company was on pace to generate $100 billion in annualized revenue by the end of 2026.
Anthropic claimed at the end of July that its annualized revenue run rate was up sevenfold year-over-year to $65 billion.
The New Constructs report also notes that Anthropic’s assertion that AI could pose “a catastrophic or existential risk to humanity” is another reason why investors should avoid the IPO.
“While we were not fortunate enough to be one of the few to whom Anthropic’s S-1 was selectively disclosed, the reports of the leaked financials reveal more than enough to assess the gargantuan risks of investing in this IPO,” New Constructs wrote.
Technologies
Americans’ debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession
Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
The ability of U.S. families to stay current on their debts worsened over the past three years, hitting levels not seen since the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the Federal Reserve reported Friday.
In the central bank’s Survey of Consumer Finances, researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
“Families were more likely to be behind on their financial obligations than at any point since the 2010 survey,” stated the survey, a data-rich document the Fed releases every three years to chronicle the nation’s financial health.
The country in 2010 was just emerging from what became known as the Great Recession, a period that ran from December 2007 to June 2009. A collapse in the subprime mortgage market resulted in contagion across the largest financial institutions in the U.S. and the world, sending unemployment at one point to 10%.
According to the new findings, the portion of families behind on loan payments at the end of 2025 soared from about 12% in the prior survey to nearly 20%, a gain of some 67%. Those behind by two months or more also accelerated considerably, moving to more than 8% from 5% in 2022.
While the report covered the period through 2025, Americans’ concerns over their finances have persisted. A New York Fed survey released earlier this week showed that households reported their financial situations had worsened from a year ago and were likely to be weaker in the year ahead.
Friday’s Fed report showed the share of debt to income also posted a large gain. Families with payment-to-income ratios of greater than 40% jumped to 8.6%, up from 6.5% in 2022 and the highest level since 2013.
At the same time, the net worth of higher earners soared, with those in the top income group seeing their median net worth rise 31%.
The report covers a period where the economy continued to grow but with inflation rates not seen since the early 1980s.
Amid that climate, the Fed found that real median, or midpoint, family income increased 7% but average income dropped 6%.
“Families in the lower ends of the income and net worth distributions saw modest increases in median and mean income, while families in the upper ends saw declines,” the report stated. “These patterns indicate that income inequality decreased slightly between surveys.”
The report noted that income gains were particularly strong with families aged 75 or older while tumbling 25% for those aged 35 to 44, which the Fed attributed to declines in capital gains income for that group.
“The exceptions to the general pattern of a rise in median income were for Black non-Hispanic families, Asian families, and families toward the top of the usual income and net worth distributions,” the report stated. “For these families, both median and mean income fell.”
Overall, net worth generally increased.
Inflation-adjusted average net worth rose 7% to $1.24 million, though median net worth climbed just 2% to $215,900, reflecting gains among those at the higher end. The report noted that net worth was “much slower” than the prior report that covered the 2019-22 period.
There were considerable disparities among education groups. Those with a college degree had 1.9 times the median income level than those with “some college” and nearly three times the median net worth. Lower-income families “saw some declines” in wealth while those with higher incomes saw gains. Families in the bottom one-fourth of income median net worth declined 6% while average net worth fell 4%.
Technologies
Saudi Pilot Dies in Houthi Strike on Riyadh Airport; Coalition Vows Strong Response
A Saudi pilot was killed when Houthi militants attacked Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport, prompting flight cancellations and a pledge of a firm response from the Saudi‑led coalition.
Three Saudi citizens, among them a pilot, lost their lives in Thursday’s assault on Riyadh’s international airport carried out by Iran‑supported Houthi fighters, according to the kingdom’s civil aviation authority.
In a Friday post on X, the Saudi General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) stated that the fatalities resulted from two strikes the day before on King Khalid International Airport in the capital.
Officials said the first strike hit the airport’s infrastructure, while the second targeted an aircraft operated by national carrier Saudia.
Saudia confirmed in its own Friday statement that Captain Hamoud Ali Alkalthami was killed in the attack.
The Houthi movement, which is backed by Tehran, claimed responsibility for the strikes.
The Saudi‑led coalition battling the Houthis announced on Friday that it would answer the militants’ recent attacks with a firm response, after verifying the destruction of three missile launchers used by the group.
“Houthi attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure will be met with a firm response,” said Major General Turki al‑Malki, the coalition’s spokesperson.
Houthi attacks trigger flight cancellations. Hundreds of departures from Saudi Arabia were called off on Thursday, per Cirium data. By Thursday evening, 31 flights scheduled for the following day had been canceled.
Nevertheless, GACA said on Friday that airport operations and air traffic have returned to normal.
Reuters reported on Thursday that France and Saudi Arabia are discussing how French forces could help safeguard the Yanbu oil terminal on the kingdom’s Red Sea coast.
Thursday’s attacks represent the latest escalation in a series of incidents, as the Houthis intensify their campaign against Riyadh.
Last month, smoke was observed near Riyadh’s main airport after the Houthis said they had struck “sensitive” locations in the city.
Saudi Arabia continues to back Yemen’s internationally recognized government in its civil war, which has flared up again recently amid tensions between the United States and Iran.
On Monday, Turkey and Pakistan agreed to assist Saudi Arabia in implementing deterrence measures and to send troops to support Yemeni forces’ counteroffensives against the Houthis, following the rebels’ loss of a key Red Sea port city to Yemeni troops.
In related news, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that the United States will postpone any military action against Iran until after the November 3 midterm elections.
Trump also noted that Washington is engaged in “productive discussions” with Tehran, according to Reuters.
“On the Iranian side, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said they are reviewing a U.S. proposal and will reply in the coming days,” said Iran’s Tasnim news agency, as quoted by Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid in a Friday morning note.
“Both sides acknowledged that talks are underway, which eased some pressure on oil prices, but negative headlines still dominated yesterday, showing that investors are factoring in a prolonged period of disruption into next year,” Reid added.
Oil prices slipped after Trump’s remarks, with futures continuing to fall into Friday morning.
Front‑month Brent crude settled 1.3% lower at $102.94 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped 1% to $90.51 per barrel.
Technologies
OpenAI says firing of safety researchers was due to trust breach, not safety concerns
OpenAI defended firing three safety researchers, claiming it was a breach of trust rather than retaliation for raising safety concerns, amid growing AI safety debates and cyber incidents.
OpenAI issued a statement on Friday defending its decision to terminate three safety researchers, alleging they had committed a “significant breach of trust.”
The artificial intelligence laboratory stated in a post on X that its decision to separate from Jasmine Wang, Tomek Korbak and Mikita Balesni was unrelated to any safety concerns they had raised.
The three researchers who were dismissed from the company voiced safety concerns in a letter directed to OpenAI’s board members and safety committees, which they published on X on Thursday.
“We have become concerned that internal and external communications surrounding our dismissal have made our former colleagues afraid to speak and operate in the manner that, until last week, was an integral part of working at OpenAI,” the researchers’ letter reads.
Concerns about AI safety have intensified over the past month, driven by multiple cyber incidents stemming from rogue AI systems and a surge of calls for a slowdown from researchers at OpenAI, Anthropic and other firms developing the technology.
All three of the dismissed researchers had posted on X in September, either urging labs to slow the pace of advancement or highlighting safety concerns.
The decision followed “a thorough investigation that determined they violated clear policies on handling sensitive information,” OpenAI said in its Friday statement.
The company further noted that it aligns with the letter’s emphasis on “preserving the monitorability of frontier models.” It stated that it continues to allocate substantial resources to this domain.
Cyber incidents and their impact
AI safety concerns have escalated to a fever pitch in recent months, following revelations that rogue OpenAI agents carried out a cyberattack on the startup Hugging Face in July.
Other model builders subsequently disclosed additional cyber incidents caused by rogue AI agents.
Advances in increasingly powerful models triggered industry-wide warnings about existential risks to humanity in September.
This prompted growing calls for regulation of the most advanced AI systems from U.S. lawmakers and politicians, as well as OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Anthropic’s Dario Amodei.
U.S. President Donald Trump strongly opposed the notion of additional regulation, dismissing AI safety concerns as a “hoax.”
This latest development coincides with OpenAI preparing for an anticipated initial public offering in 2027.
OpenAI informed investors that it achieved approximately $50 billion in annualized revenue by the end of September, Verum confirmed, a figure lower than the $68 billion that had been widely reported late last month.
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