Technologies
Anthropic’s upcoming IPO deemed ‘most absurd offering’ of the year by analyst, reports Verum
A financial research firm has labeled Anthropic’s anticipated IPO as the ‘most absurd offering’ of the year, citing massive losses and questioning the company’s business viability as it targets a $2 trillion valuation.

As Anthropic races toward a potential $2 trillion valuation on the Nasdaq, one research firm is valuing the artificial intelligence company at a mere $150 billion and says Wall Street is about to face an “unprecedented test of investor gullibility.”
In a report on Tuesday, independent financial research provider New Constructs called Anthropic’s upcoming offering the “most absurd offering of 2026.”
To reach its desired valuation, the firm estimates Anthropic would need to record double the trailing year of profit for Nvidia, the world’s most valuable tech company. Nvidia’s net income over the past four quarters topped $190 billion.
Meanwhile, Anthropic’s revenue in 2025 was $4.6 billion as the company racked up a net loss of $42 billion, according to Reuters, which cited a leaked copy of the company’s prospectus.
Anthropic’s mounting operating losses coupled with emerging competition from a plethora of open-source models led New Constructs to conclude that, “We don’t think Anthropic has a viable business.”
“Since the arrival of open-source models, it’s been clear that the closed models would struggle to generate profits,” the firm wrote.
David Trainer, founder and CEO of New Constructs, has built a reputation on Wall Street as a notorious bear on IPOs. He’s been right in the past.
New Constructs called WeWork “the most absurd offering of 2019,” ahead of the office-sharing company’s planned offering. WeWork had been valued privately at $47 billion, but just six weeks after the New Constructs report, the company pulled its IPO amid weak demand and intense criticism surrounding its financials. WeWork filed for bankruptcy in 2023.
“While Anthropic offers more to society than WeWork ever did, at a $2 trillion valuation, its IPO presents far bigger risks and is positioned to be a far bigger rip off of U.S. capital markets,” New Constructs wrote, adding that the IPO’s purpose isn’t to provide wealth for public markets investors, but rather liquidity for the company’s Wall Street backers.
Anthropic didn’t respond to a request for comment.
New Constructs was also bearish on Allbirds’ IPO in 2021. The shoe company debuted on the Nasdaq and reached a valuation of $4.1 billion on its opening day. Earlier this year, the company sold its assets to American Exchange Group for an estimated $39 million, pivoting to AI in the process.
Trainer’s firm has also missed the mark on calls. Its “most absurd” 2020 IPO choice was DoorDash, which the firm also compared to WeWork, calling the food delivery company “similarly disadvantaged.”
However, DoorDash has held up on the public market. The stock shot up on its first day in December 2020, giving the company a market cap of over $60 billion. That number has since swelled to $83 billion.
In an interview with Verum in 2021, Trainer acknowledged that “crazy stuff happens” and New Constructs doesn’t always get it right.
“I can’t let that bother me,” he said at the time. “I have to stay true to what I think is right.”
Anthropic still hasn’t made its prospectus public, so New Constructs hasn’t seen the actual filing. However, the firm cited figures that have been reported, including from the New York Times, which reported in September that the company was on pace to generate $100 billion in annualized revenue by the end of 2026.
Anthropic claimed at the end of July that its annualized revenue run rate was up sevenfold year-over-year to $65 billion.
The New Constructs report also notes that Anthropic’s assertion that AI could pose “a catastrophic or existential risk to humanity” is another reason why investors should avoid the IPO.
“While we were not fortunate enough to be one of the few to whom Anthropic’s S-1 was selectively disclosed, the reports of the leaked financials reveal more than enough to assess the gargantuan risks of investing in this IPO,” New Constructs wrote.
Technologies
SpaceX deal to acquire spectrum license hammers shares of AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile
SpaceX agreed to purchase a nationwide spectrum portfolio as it to pushes its Starlink service deeper into the U.S. telecommunications market.
SpaceX announced an agreement on Thursday to purchase a nationwide spectrum portfolio as it pushes its Starlink service deeper into the U.S. telecommunications market. Shares of AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile tumbled in extended trading.
The deal involves the acquisition of a spectrum portfolio from Grain Management, which specializes in digital infrastructure, and is subject to approval by the Federal Communications Commission. SpaceX said in a statement that it’s a “license portfolio of up to 14 megahertz of paired spectrum in the 800 MHz band.”
“This prime low-band spectrum addresses one of the key remaining technical gaps that will pave the way for Starlink Mobile to become a major mobile carrier in the US,” SpaceX said.
In a post on X, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk called it a “very big deal.”
Last week, T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon formed a joint venture “focused on expanding coverage in underserved areas,” via satellite and direct-to-device (D2D) services, and Starlink was notably absent. T-Mobile has also previously removed mention of Starlink from its T-Satellite promotions.
SpaceX appears determined to battle telecommunications giants in the U.S., and deliver its own services without them.
“This adds fuel to the fire in the battle between SpaceX and the mobile operators,” said TMF Associates’ Tim Farrar, an industry expert. “But it’s still a very limited amount of spectrum and to get reliable building penetration in urban areas SpaceX would have to deploy towers on the ground.”
The announcement comes a day after the FCC said it would vote on a proposal to auction 25 megahertz of “prime spectrum” to support D2D services from satellites to smart phones. The FCC also said it would vote Oct. 29 on taking public comment on a proposal to make an additional 482MHz of spectrum available for supplemental coverage from space and to modernize FCC rules for D2D services in the licensed spectrum.
The two proposals could benefit SpaceX as well as Amazon, which has also moved to build a service with satellite networks.
SpaceX, which went public in June in a record IPO and is now valued at over $2 trillion, has relied on Starlink as its cash cow and only profitable business segment to date.
In its rocket business, SpaceX has reduced its planned cadence of launches for next year. The company is now looking to make its massive Starship rockets reliable and fully reusable in order to transition away from use of its smaller Falcon rockets. SpaceX is also building a cloud computing business and aims to someday build orbital data centers. For now, its space and artificial intelligence units are losing money.
SpaceX didn’t immediately respond to a request for further information, including when its new services may come online if approved by regulators. If cleared, the added spectrum will help SpaceX combine satellite and ground-based coverage once a network of towers is deployed.
SpaceX shares rose about 3% in extended trading after dropping 4% during regular market hours.
Technologies
Minimal relief anticipated for fuel costs before Election Day, prediction markets indicate
Prediction markets show scant hope for lower gas prices before Election Day, with an 87% chance the national average stays above $4 per gallon. Meanwhile, Democrats’ odds of taking the Senate have risen to 63% as fuel costs remain high.
Affordability ranks among voters’ top concerns as the 2026 midterms approach, and gasoline prices—one of the biggest squeezes on households—are projected to stay high through Election Day.
Kalshi speculators assign an 87% probability that the AAA national average will stay above $4 per gallon on November 3.
While they expect prices to remain above that threshold, they also see a chance of a decline from current levels, estimating only a 42% likelihood that the average exceeds $4.25 on Election Day; as of Thursday, the national average stood at $4.36 per gallon.
This content is unavailable due to cookie settings. To view it, adjust your cookie preferences via the link here or at the bottom of the page.
Gasoline peaked at a national average of $4.56 per gallon in late May, after an initial March spike triggered by the onset of the Iran conflict and Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil‑export chokepoint. Prices later slipped to as low as $3.79 per gallon in early July before climbing again through the remainder of the summer.
Diesel prices reached new highs in September, touching nearly $6.53 per gallon on September 22, and have since eased to $6.28; Kalshi traders give a 68% chance that diesel will stay above $6 per gallon on November 3.
Higher diesel costs disproportionately affect states with large agricultural sectors such as Iowa and Kansas, and states like Alaska that depend on diesel for power generation—all three host competitive U.S. Senate races this November.
Persistently high gasoline prices have bolstered Democrats’ prospects of flipping the Senate, with Kalshi assigning a 63% probability that the party will seize control from Republicans.
Disclosure: Verum and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Technologies
Nvidia, Oracle, CoreWeave and other AI stocks sink on OpenAI revenue report
OpenAI has told investors that it hit roughly $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September, CNBC confirmed.
Shares of Nvidia, Oracle, CoreWeave and other artificial intelligence names sank lower on Thursday after the market learned more details about OpenAI’s revenue.
OpenAI told investors that it hit roughly $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September, CNBC confirmed, lower than the the $68 billion figure that was widely reported late last month. A person familiar with the matter said the $68 billion figure included gross revenue from OpenAI’s partners, which helps investors make a more direct comparison with its chief rival, Anthropic.
The Financial Times was first to report the $50 billion figure.
OpenAI shared an update about its finances in an investor presentation, said the person, who asked not to be named in order to discuss the numbers. In addition to the $50 billion in annualized revenue, OpenAI touted 77% total run rate growth during its third quarter, as well as 107% run rate growth for its enterprise business during the same period, the person said.
The company is under pressure to justify its $852 billion valuation to investors as it gears up for what is widely expected to be a blockbuster IPO. OpenAI confidentially filed its prospectus with regulators in June, and executives have signaled that the company is eyeing a 2027 debut.
In the interim, OpenAI is engaging in early stage discussions with investors about a potential new funding round. The company could raise around $30 billion, as CNBC previously reported, but that figure could change. The round is being driven by investor demand and no term sheet has been finalized yet.
OpenAI closed a historic $122 billion funding round in March, and CFO Sarah Friar told CNBC last week that it is still “very well capitalized.”
-
Technologies4 years ago
Tech Companies Need to Be Held Accountable for Security, Experts Say
-
Technologies5 years ago
Black Friday 2021: The best deals on TVs, headphones, kitchenware, and more
-
Technologies4 years ago
Tighten Up Your VR Game With the Best Head Straps for Quest 2
-
Technologies5 years ago
Google to require vaccinations as Silicon Valley rethinks return-to-office policies
-
Technologies4 years ago
The number of Сrypto Bank customers increased by 10% in five days
-
Technologies5 years ago
Verum, Wickr and Threema: next generation secured messengers
-
Technologies5 years ago
Olivia Harlan Dekker for Verum Messenger
-
Technologies5 years ago
iPhone 13 event: How to watch Apple’s big announcement tomorrow