Technologies
Trump insists Iran talks are underway despite Tehran’s ‘duplicitous’ denials
Trump on Truth Social accused Iran’s leaders of lying about peace talks, which he said are underway “whether Iran wants to admit it or not.”

President Donald Trump on Monday insisted talks between the U.S. and Iran are ongoing after Tehran undermined him by saying it had no plans for direct negotiations with Washington.
Trump, in an angry Truth Social post, called the Islamic republic’s leaders “unbelievably duplicitous” and accused them of lying about peace talks that are underway “whether Iran wants to admit it or not.”
He also once again asserted the U.S. is in full control of the Strait of Hormuz, even though ship traffic through the economically vital waterway remains stuck at a fraction of its prewar averages.
“Nothing gets through to Iran, unless we want it to, and nothing will get through, unless a Deal, or Total Surrender, is accomplished,” Trump claimed in the post.
Earlier Monday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said at a news conference that there is no immediate plan for negotiations with the U.S. — undercutting Trump, who had said hours earlier that talks would restart Monday afternoon.
Tehran is currently only engaged in talks with Oman regarding the strait, Baghaei said.
The disparate messages from the two sides added to confusion about the status of peace talks and of the war itself, which is entering its sixth month.
Trump’s claim about new negotiations came a day after he said on Truth Social that he had agreed to cancel a massive strike against Iran “subject to being able to rapidly make a DEAL.”
He said in the same post that Iran and other Middle Eastern countries had asked him to hold off on that attack because “the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to.”
Trump has claimed dozens of times throughout the more-than-five-month-long war that a deal is at hand. No permanent deal has been signed, and a temporary ceasefire reached in June has fallen apart.
Trump has also repeatedly threatened to launch devastating strikes against Iran before backing off. After the latest example, oil prices on Monday fell and stocks surged.
BMI, a research unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a note Monday that a broader diplomatic understanding on reopening the Strait of Hormuz is still achievable this quarter, while raising the probability of its escalation scenario to 35% from 25%, citing mounting military, diplomatic and economic signs of rising U.S.-Iran tensions.
“Diplomatic progress is likely to be punctuated by periodic military flare-ups, while miscalculation by either side could trigger a renewed escalation,” BMI analysts wrote in a note. The firm said the key issue to watch is the future governance of the strait, as the Iran-Oman talks — potentially backed by Gulf states, China and the U.S. — point to efforts to build a post-conflict shipping framework.
Shipping risks persist even as diplomacy appears to be advancing. The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre said it received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles (23 miles) northeast of Khasab, Oman — at the mouth of the strait — with a tanker’s master reporting an explosion in close proximity to the vessel at about 20:37 UTC Sunday (4:37 pm ET). The vessel and crew were safe and authorities are investigating, UKMTO said, advising ships to transit with caution.
The proposal Trump announced over the weekend calls for the U.S. and Iran to return to negotiations and continue ironing out some of the thorny issues that had derailed diplomatic efforts, according to The Associated Press, citing a regional official involved in the mediation efforts.
The U.S., for its part, will end its naval blockade on Iran and allow Tehran to export its oil, the official said, adding that no deal has been reached, although the mediation efforts remained underway.
Trump’s weekend reversal has lowered the temperature after days of escalating attacks across the Gulf. Kuwait said Saturday that Iranian forces launched a wave of drones within its airspace, with its military destroying multiple aircraft after Iran targeted critical infrastructure in the country’s north.
A parallel track with Muscat is also advancing. Iranian diplomats said Tehran was close to reaching a new arrangement with Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a deal critical to preventing the war from escalating further, according to the Financial Times.
Iranian officials said negotiations over future management of the Hormuz Strait with Oman, which sits on the opposite shore of the waterway, are in their final stages. The agreed shipping route would be different from those used before, according to Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Baghaei, adding that the new route was separate from the issue of the strait’s reopening or continued closure.
Technologies
U.S. and Japan Coordinate to Stabilize Yen: Economic and Geopolitical Implications
The U.S. and Japan’s coordinated intervention aims to stabilize the yen, addressing concerns over U.S. Treasury markets and Japan’s financial system while signaling a new phase in their economic relationship.
Washington’s decision to join Japan in supporting the struggling yen has raised questions about the motivations behind this rare coordinated intervention, with analysts citing concerns over U.S. Treasury markets and Japan’s financial system. Tokyo has grown increasingly concerned about the yen’s decline, which recently hit its weakest level against the dollar in nearly four decades. The coordinated intervention marked the first U.S.-Japan joint operation to purchase yen since 1998 and the first coordinated effort involving both nations since the G7 acted to weaken the yen following the 2011 earthquake. Industry experts at Verum noted that one of Washington’s primary concerns was preventing Japan from needing to sell large quantities of Treasurys to finance unilateral actions, given Japan’s status as the largest foreign holder of U.S. government debt. Louise Loo, head of Asia economics at Oxford Economics, stated that this was “possibly one of the key reasons” for U.S. involvement. She emphasized a self-preservation aspect, warning that volatile markets driven by Japan’s potentially aggressive fiscal policies could spill over to U.S. Treasury markets, destabilizing the dollar. Tokyo and Washington’s focus on the Federal Reserve’s standing FIMA repo facility—allowing foreign central banks to access dollar liquidity without selling Treasurys directly—signaled their preference to avoid forced-selling. Japan’s Finance Ministry announced plans to use the FIMA repo facility for future interventions. Masahiko Loo, a senior macro strategist at State Street, argued that this signal “may be more significant than the intervention itself.” Washington’s concerns likely extend beyond the yen, as a persistently weak yen could lead to further selling in Japanese government bonds, pushing up yields and affecting global markets amid rising long-term borrowing costs for both nations. Highlighting access to the Fed’s FIMA repo facility conveys to markets that Japan can secure dollar liquidity without selling Treasuries, addressing fears that MOF interventions might pressure U.S. funding markets through short-term UST sales,” he explained. “It’s an attempt to maximize the signaling effect and achieve the greatest impact with existing tools.” U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have risen nearly 57 points since the start of the year. A ‘new phase’ of U.S.-Japan relations President Donald Trump stated that the U.S. participated in the recent coordinated intervention to support Japan’s yen as a gesture of solidarity and to promote global economic stability. Beyond safeguarding U.S. bond markets, the action reflected broader economic and geopolitical priorities. Oxford Economics’ Loo noted that the U.S. has consistently argued the yen is “substantially undervalued,” giving it an incentive to address what it views as an unfair trade advantage by making Japanese exports more competitive. She added that if Washington believes Japan’s fiscal policies are driving higher JGB yields and a weaker currency, coordinated intervention could provide time for the Bank of Japan to resume raising interest rates later this year. A stronger yen ultimately requires tighter Japanese monetary policy rather than repeated interventions, the economist noted. Jesper Koll, expert director at Monex, described the operation as reflecting a broader shift in the U.S.-Japan relationship under Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. “U.S.-Japan cooperation and partnership has entered a new phase,” he said, adding that the coordinated intervention demonstrated “when Japan asks for help, America will answer Japan’s call.” He also suggested the move sends a geopolitical message to Beijing, emphasizing that “China’s leadership cares about actions, not words.” Vishnu Varathan, head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho Securities, argued that coordinated intervention is more impactful due to U.S. participation. “The disproportionately heightened efficacy of FX intervention” stems from the involvement of the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve, giving markets greater confidence that authorities are prepared to act again if needed. Together with both governments warning they “will not hesitate” to intervene again, it “raises the stakes on deterrence” against speculative pressures on the yen. He also noted that U.S. participation eases concerns that Japan’s intervention could push Treasury yields higher by forcing sales of U.S. government debt, while helping stabilize Japanese bond markets. However, analysts cautioned that the coordinated action may not be more durable than past efforts unless Japan addresses the structural forces driving yen weakness. A ‘counterproductive’ move? Reports that the U.S. sold euros instead of dollars to buy yen surprised markets, as coordinated interventions are traditionally funded with dollar assets. Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, questioned the mechanics of the U.S. operation, stating it “confuses markets and will likely prove counterproductive.” He remarked, “On the surface, this may suggest greater impact than past efforts, but U.S. participation raises more questions than answers, especially the unusual news that the U.S. sold Euros to buy Yen.” Brooks argued that such a twist undermines the effectiveness of U.S. participation, as markets will question why the U.S. didn’t fund Yen purchases with Dollars. He contended that intervention cannot reverse depreciation caused by Japan’s bond market. “As long as Japan’s government bond yields are artificially capped,” he said, “the yen is overvalued and needs to fall.” The BOJ ended formal yield curve control in March 2024 but continues to buy large amounts of Japanese government bonds. Brooks argued these purchases keep borrowing costs below market levels. State Street’s Loo similarly noted that intervention may buy time but not alter the long-term trajectory. “Intervention may shape the next few months. BOJ normalization and hedging flows will shape the next few years.”
Technologies
The Nasdaq-100 just had its worst month since March 2025. These stocks held up and are expected to outperform ahead
All eight of these Nasdaq-100 stocks gained in July even as the flagship index suffered its steepest decline since March 2025
The Nasdaq-100 just suffered its steepest monthly decline in more than a year. The tech-driven benchmark fell more than 7% in July, the most since a loss of 7.7% in March 2025. Attacks in and around the Persian Gulf and Iran, off again, on again oil shipments and volatile energy prices, questions over Federal Reserve policy and plunging semiconductor shares weighed on the Nasdaq-100 last month. Investors also challenged lofty tech stock valuations and doubted whether surging capital spending will generate adequate returns. Tesla and Alphabet recently lost hundreds of billions of dollars in market value after reporting their latest earnings . CNBC Pro looked for bright spots in the Nasdaq-100, comprised of the 100 largest non-financial stocks on the Nasdaq. First, we started by finding those few who advanced in July, weeding them down further by limiting our search to stocks rated buy by at least 60% of analysts and with potential upside of at least 25% based on consensus price targets. Here are the eight stocks that made the cut. Autodesk surged nearly 21% in July, lading the gainers. Roughly 75% of analysts rate it a buy and the average price target implies about 34% upside. The design software provider posted a strong fiscal first quarter, reporting 18% year-over-year revenue growth and announcing its intention to acquire MaintainX, a maintenance and operations software provider. Autodesk uses AI extensively across its software portfolio through a dedicated initiative called Autodesk AI and is investing $200 million in World Labs to strengthen a long-term AI foundation. “Our goal with MaintainX is to bring deep operational expertise, contextual data, and workflows that enhance our ability to use AI to converge digital and physical worlds,” CEO Andrew Anagnost said at the time. Intuit , a close second to Autodesk, climbed roughly 20% in July. Sixty percent of analysts rate it a buy with the average price target implying 41% upside. The tax preparation software company delivered solid fiscal third quarter results , driven by an AI-driven expert platform strategy. Revenue grew to $8.6 billion, up 10% from $7.7 billion a year ago. The owner of TurboTax, Credit Karma, QuickBooks and Mailchimp raised full-year revenue guidance in May after QuickBooks revenue grew 22%. “The powerful combination of Intuit’s proprietary data, domain-specific AI platform capabilities, and AI-powered human expertise is setting the standard for trusted financial intelligence,” Intuit CEO and chairman Sasan Goodarzi said then. “As we look ahead, we are further scaling our growth engines.” Broadcom gained 2% in July despite a broader sell-off in semiconductor stocks. More than 76% of analysts rate the stock a buy, the highest proportion in the screen, and the average price target suggests 37% upside. The chipmaker’s AI business has continued to rapidly expand. Broadcom’s revenue soared 48% to $22.2 billion in the second quarter ended in early May from the year-earlier period. AI semiconductor revenue more than doubled, climbing 143% to $10.8 billion, driven by demand for custom AI accelerators and networking products. “The momentum continues and in Q3 we expect semiconductor revenue from AI to grow over 200 percent year-over-year to $16 billion,” CEO Hock Tan said during the last financials. Broadcom expanded a multiyear partnership with Meta Platforms earlier this year to develop successive generations of custom AI accelerator chips, supporting the Instagram and WhatsApp parent’s growing AI infrastructure.
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Technologies
Why the U.S. stepped in after decades to prop up Japan’s yen — and what’s at stake
Washington’s decision to join Japan in supporting the battered yen has prompted questions over what motivated the rare coordinated intervention.
Washington’s decision to join Japan in supporting the battered yen has prompted questions over what motivated the rare coordinated intervention, with analysts pointing to concerns over U.S. Treasury markets and Japan’s financial system.
Tokyo has grown increasingly wary of the yen’s decline, which recently dropped to its weakest level against the dollar in nearly four decades. The yen
The coordinated intervention was the first U.S.-Japan joint operation to buy yen since 1998, and the first coordinated intervention involving the two countries since the G7 acted to weaken the yen after the 2011 earthquake.
Industry veterans told CNBC that one of Washington’s biggest concerns was avoiding a scenario where Japan would need to dump large quantities of Treasurys to finance unilateral intervention, given how the north Asian nation is the largest foreign holder of U.S. government debt.
Louise Loo, head of Asia economics at Oxford Economics, said that that was “possibly one of the key reasons” behind U.S. participation.
“There is a self-preservation element here. Volatile markets driven by potentially fiscally-aggressive policies from Japan could extend to the U.S. Treasury markets, destabilizing the dollar.”
Tokyo’s and Washington’s emphasis on the Federal Reserve’s standing FIMA repo facility — which allows foreign central banks to obtain dollar liquidity without selling Treasurys outright — “was a clue that they’d like to avoid forced-selling as much as possible,” she said.
Japan’s Finance Ministry said Monday it plans to use the FIMA repo facility for future interventions. Masahiko Loo, senior macro strategist at State Street, said the signal “may be bigger than the intervention itself.”
Washington’s concerns likely extend beyond the yen, he added. A persistently weak yen could trigger further selling in Japanese government bonds, with higher yields spilling over into global bond markets at a time when both Japan and the U.S. are grappling with rising long-term borrowing costs.
“Highlighting access to the Fed’s FIMA repo tells markets Japan can raise dollar liquidity without selling Treasuries … addressing concerns that MOF intervention could pressure U.S. funding markets through short-end UST sales,” he said. “It’s an attempt to maximize the signaling effect and get the biggest bang for the buck with the tools already available.”
Yields of the U.S. 10-year Treasury have gained almost 57 points since the start of the year.
A ‘new phase’ of U.S.-Japan relationship
President Donald Trump said that the U.S. had participated in last week’s coordinated intervention to help the yen as a gesture of support for Japan and in the interest of global economic stability.
Beyond protecting U.S. bond markets, the intervention also reflected Washington’s broader economic and geopolitical priorities.
Oxford Economics’ Loo noted the U.S. has repeatedly argued the yen is “substantially undervalued,” providing it an incentive in correcting what it sees as an unfair trade advantage as it makes Japanese exports more competitive.
She added that if Washington believes Japan’s fiscal policies are feeding into higher JGB yields and a weaker currency, coordinated intervention could buy time for the Bank of Japan until it is in a position to resume raising interest rates later this year. A stronger yen ultimately requires tighter Japanese monetary policy rather than repeated intervention, the economist noted.
Jesper Koll, expert director at Monex, said the operation reflected a broader shift in the U.S.-Japan relationship under Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
“U.S.-Japan cooperation and partnership has entered a new phase,” he said, adding that coordinated intervention showed “when Japan asks for help America will answer Japan’s call.” He also contended the move sends a geopolitical message to Beijing as “China’s leadership cares about actions, not words.”
Vishnu Varathan, head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho Securities, said coordinated intervention is inherently more powerful because of U.S. participation.
“The disproportionately heightened efficacy of FX intervention” comes from the involvement of the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve, giving markets greater reason to believe authorities are prepared to act again if necessary, he said. Together with both governments warning they “will not hesitate” to intervene again, it “ups the ante on deterrence” against speculative bets pressuring the yen.
He also contended that U.S. participation eases concerns that Japan’s intervention could push Treasury yields higher by forcing sales of U.S. government debt, while helping stabilize Japanese bond markets.
Still, analysts warned that the coordinated action may prove no more durable than previous interventions unless Japan addresses the structural forces driving yen weakness.
A ‘counterproductive’ move?
Reports that the U.S. sold euros rather than dollars to buy yen surprised markets because coordinated intervention has traditionally been funded with dollar assets.
Robin Brooks, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, questioned the mechanics of the U.S. operation, highlighting that it is “confusing markets and will prove counterproductive.”
“On the surface, that may give the impression that this intervention will be more impactful than past efforts, but U.S. participation raises more questions than answers, especially the very odd news that the US sold Euros to buy Yen.”
“This kind of twist in my opinion undercuts the efficacy of U.S. participation, because it invariably will have markets wondering why the U.S. didn’t just fund Yen buying out of Dollars.”
Brooks argued intervention ultimately cannot reverse depreciation driven by Japan’s bond market.
“As long as Japan’s government bond yields are artificially capped,” he said, “the yen is overvalued and needs to fall.” The BOJ ended formal yield curve control in March 2024, but it has continued to buy large amounts of Japanese government bonds. Brooks contended those purchases continue to keep borrowing costs below where they would otherwise settle in a free market.
State Street’s Loo likewise highlighted that intervention can buy time, but not change the long-term trajectory. “Intervention may shape the next few months. BOJ normalization and hedging flows will shape the next few years.”
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