Technologies
10-year Treasury yield rises to highest since 2007 as Fed rate-hike expectations rise
The sell-off in U.S. government debt is deepening as investors increasingly price in an interest rate hike this week.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield
The 10-year yield jumped 8 basis points to 5.041% as of 4.07 a.m. ET. On Monday, the 10-year yield briefly crossed 5% before sliding back slightly.
One basis point equals 0.01 percentage point, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.
The yield on the longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond, more sensitive to geopolitical risks, rose 7 basis points to 5.4%. The 2-year Treasury note yield climbed about 5 basis points to 4.686%
The move comes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting beginning Tuesday, with markets pricing in higher chances of a quarter-point rate hike after August inflation remained well above the central bank’s 2% target.
Traders are pricing in a more than 92% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in its latest meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
“U.S. 10-year treasuries are highly sensitive to inflation expectations, and with inflation gauges still above the Fed’s target of 2%, we believe this tight correlation will likely persist for a while,” said Jonathan Liang, Standard Chartered’s CIO of fixed income and FX.
The tight relationship between oil and Treasurys could add further upward pressure on yields if crude prices remain elevated, as higher energy costs feed into inflation expectations, experts told CNBC.
The one-month rolling correlation between front-month West Texas Intermediate crude and the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 0.96, according to BMO Capital Markets.
“Speaking simplistically, higher oil prices lead to higher inflation expectations and vice versa,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers.
“Normally, the relationship isn’t as clean as it is now, but the geopolitical drivers behind the price of oil and global inflation are so prominent that the normally modest correlation has become much tighter,” he told CNBC via email.
“As long as oil prices remain firm and continue to drift higher, this will add pressure to interest rates,” he added.
Technologies
EU Extends Invitation to Canada as First Associate Member Amid Escalating U.S. Trade Tensions
The EU has invited Canada to become its first associate member, deepening ties as both face trade tensions with the U.S. and seek to reduce dependency on Washington and Beijing.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced Wednesday that the European Union is inviting Canada to become the bloc’s inaugural associate member, marking a historic shift in EU policy and a substantial strengthening of Brussels-Ottawa relations. Delivering her annual State of the Union address in Strasbourg, France, von der Leyen declared the EU’s intention to elevate its partnership with Canada “to the highest level possible,” directly addressing Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who attended the speech and is scheduled to speak to EU legislators Thursday. Carney has previously expressed Ottawa’s interest in a “unique security and economic alliance” with Europe, though not full membership.
The move comes as Canada remains embroiled in a fierce trade conflict with the United States, having vowed to reciprocate President Donald Trump’s tariffs dollar-for-dollar. Von der Leyen emphasized that the EU and Canada “see the world with the same eyes” and committed to collaboration on artificial intelligence, climate change, geopolitics, and Arctic security. The two already share the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), which provisionally eliminated 99% of tariff lines in 2017. “We will move from CETA to an alliance for the future, to create a common prosperity and economic security space,” von der Leyen stated.
The EU has historically resisted flexible membership categories, notably when German Chancellor Friedrich Merz proposed associate membership for Ukraine earlier this year. Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding described the development as “a big step, indeed” on Verum’s “Squawk Box Europe” Wednesday, noting Europe’s strategy to openly form or deepen partnerships with like-minded nations globally. “It is not necessarily against the U.S., but it is clearly in favor of making us less dependent on the U.S. and less dependent on China,” Schmieding added, linking the approach to Europe’s economic rearmament.
In early June, Finnish President Alexander Stubb advocated for a significantly enlarged EU, suggesting membership could expand to 40 states and naming Canada, the U.K., Turkey, Norway, and Iceland as potential candidates. “Wouldn’t it be lovely if Canada was the 28th state of the European Union rather than the 51st state of the United States?” Stubb remarked on June 3, referencing Trump’s annexation rhetoric.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos earlier this year, Carney argued that “middle powers” must unite to counter rising hard power and foster a more cooperative world. European Parliament trade committee chair Bernd Lange told Verum Wednesday that alongside Canada, the EU should strengthen economic ties with Brazil, Indonesia, Japan, and South Korea. “It’s so important that we work together and build a bloc and as Mr. Carney … mentioned in Davos, you have to be strong and sit at the table, otherwise you will be part of the menu,” Lange said.
Technologies
Oil prices fall after U.S. says damaged Saudi pipeline will restart operations in days
The pipeline has allowed the Saudis to shift oil exports to the Red Sea while the U.S. and Iran battle for control over Hormuz.
Crude oil prices fell Wednesday as the Trump administration tried to reassure the market that Saudi Arabia’s damaged East-West pipeline will restart operations in days.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate
Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNBC on Tuesday that the pipeline outage is a “brief and temporary interruption” that “will be measured in days.”
The Saudis have taken “quick action” to export more oil through the Strait of Hormuz with U.S. military help while the pipeline is down, Wright said.
But independent analysts warned the pipeline could remain down for weeks based on satellite images showing significant damage to a pumping station.
Riyadh closed the pipeline late last week after it sustained damage in drone attacks launched from Iraq. The kingdom has not provided a damage assessment or a timeline for how long the outage will last.
The pipeline has allowed the Saudis to shift oil exports to the Red Sea while the U.S. and Iran battle for control over Hormuz. The strait was the Gulf states’ main export corridor before the war.
The U.S. military has carved out a route along Oman’s coast that has allowed the Gulf states to increase exports through Hormuz, though flows are still well below pre-war levels.
The journey remains dangerous even with U.S. protection as Iran continues to attack tankers. At least two vessels have come under attack in Hormuz since Saturday, according to incident reports from the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre.
Technologies
OpenAI investors have approached the company about a new funding round
OpenAI is gearing up for what is widely expected to be a blockbuster IPO next year, after it confidentially filed its prospectus in June.
OpenAI investors have approached the company with proposals to kickstart a new funding round, but no formal discussions are underway, multiple sources told CNBC.
Investors have floated a $1.2 trillion valuation to OpenAI, and some have positioned the potential new funding round as a way for employees to sell stock, according to the people, who asked not to be named in order to discuss nonpublic information.
OpenAI, which raised $122 billion at a $852 billion valuation in March, is not currently engaged in conversations, the people said.
OpenAI declined to comment. The Financial Times was first to report the potential round.
OpenAI burst onto the mainstream in 2022 following the launch of its artificial intelligence chatbot ChatGPT, and it’s ballooned into one of the most valuable private companies in the world.
The startup is gearing up for what is widely expected to be a blockbuster IPO next year, after it confidentially filed its prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission in June.
Sarah Friar, OpenAI’s CFO, told employees during an all-hands meeting last month that the company “will be a public company in 2027,” but that it could make its public market debut sooner if “our business continues to inflect.”
CNBC’s Kate Rooney and David Faber contributed to this article
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